NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5e9c07fdc9f59a744d23f32677f16982fd6f543f0966fd27da3e3a996f48904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Packers, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bears | 54c | 36,656$19,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,795.2 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Packers | 48c | 36,388$17,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,604.61 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Packers | 44c | 23,580$10,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,450.64 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Bears | 53c | 20,900$10,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,904.14 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Packers | 46c | 14,640$6,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,702.09 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Packers | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bears | 55c | 11,110$6,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.28 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bears | 53c | 10,994$5,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.47 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Packers | 48c | 10,583$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.84 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 44c | 9,835$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.63 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Bears | 57c | 8,772$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.51 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bears | 55c | 5,468$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.41 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bears | 55c | 5,130$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.65 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Bears | 53c | 5,015$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.71 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Packers | 45c | 4,954$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.08 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Bears | 49c | 4,622$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.26 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Packers | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Packers | 46c | 3,776$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.15 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Bears | 57c | 3,360$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.93 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Packers | 45c | 3,308$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.6 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Bears | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Bears | 28c | 2,750$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.23 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Bears | 57c | 2,382$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.31 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Bears | 57c | 2,337$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.24 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Packers | 44c | 2,000$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.5 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Packers | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…58a6backed Bears | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bears | 53c | 1,836$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.03 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…be79backed Bears | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Packers | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Packers | 45c | 1,478$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.32 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Packers | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.31 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bears | 58c | 1,056$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.51 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Packers | 46c | 1,037$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.51 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Packers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.06 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bears | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bears | 48c | 830.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.35 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Packers | 47c | 772.02$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.64 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Bears | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bears | 50c | 688$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.34 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Packers | 44c | 675.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Packers | 43c | 662$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.66 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Bears | 55c | 603.64$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.64 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Bears | 48c | 541.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Bears | 57c | 529.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Bears | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…55c8backed Packers | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Packers | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Bears | 58c | 499.88$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…3776backed Bears | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Bears | 56c | 419.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Packers | 46c | 409.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Packers | 49c | 404.09$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Bears | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bears | 53c | 393$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bears | 41c | 390.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Packers | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Bears | 56c | 359.82$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.32 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Packers | 44c | 296.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bears | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Packers | 39c | 256.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Packers | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Packers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Packers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…042fbacked Bears | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Bears | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Packers | 46c | 216.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Packers | 44c | 200.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Packers | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Bears | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Bears | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers | 44c | 195.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Bears | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Bears | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Packers | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Bears | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…7c7ebacked Bears | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Bears | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bears | 59c | 155.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked Bears | 53c | 134.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Packers | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Packers | 46c | 106.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Packers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Packers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…1dc4backed Bears | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Bears | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Bears | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bears | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Packers | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Packers | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Packers | 45c | 89.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…0adebacked Bears | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Bears | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…0cecbacked Bears | 58c | 86.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Bears | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Bears | 56c | 78.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…d2d3backed Bears | 56c | 77.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Packers | 42c | 76.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Packers | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Packers | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-3.5)Packers won
- Bears vs. PackersPackers won
- Bears vs. Packers: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-10.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-5.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-6.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-9.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.