NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f6ba955394acf63cac643c18169df0b39ac0c7f18855e528ae109e03de3b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bears | 47c | 21,887$10,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,308.25 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Packers | 53c | 19,299$10,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,105.46 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Packers | 53c | 17,500$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Packers | 52c | 11,192$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.3 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Bears | 48c | 9,984$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.32 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Packers | 52c | 9,504$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.1 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bears | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.19 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Bears | 48c | 7,350$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Packers | 51c | 5,914$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.81 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41df…95efbacked Bears | 48c | 5,102$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bears | 46c | 5,034$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.08 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Bears | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Packers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Bears | 49c | 4,941$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Bears | 49c | 4,898$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Packers | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Packers | 53c | 4,310$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bears | 55c | 4,049$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.31 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Packers | 52c | 3,850$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Packers | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.3 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bears | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa832…e6febacked Packers | 38c | 2,910$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Bears | 48c | 2,447$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.39 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bears | 47c | 2,437$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.18 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Packers | 52c | 2,279$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.16 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Packers | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.3 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Bears | 48c | 2,062$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 51c | 2,033$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.23 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Packers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Packers | 53c | 1,749$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.03 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Bears | 48c | 1,625$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Packers | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Packers | 52c | 1,468$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.3 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Packers | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Bears | 49c | 1,343$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Packers | 55c | 1,253$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.85 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e24…7f38backed Bears | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Bears | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Packers | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.23 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…4a7ebacked Bears | 48c | 1,034$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Packers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Packers | 51c | 969.29$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Bears | 48c | 939.58$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Bears | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Packers | 50c | 901.29$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.44 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…8b6ebacked Bears | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…f62bbacked Bears | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Packers | 55c | 655.41$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.94 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bears | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Bears | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Packers | 50c | 595.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.55 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…d1fbbacked Packers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Packers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Packers | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Bears | 49c | 529.37$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.39 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Packers | 52c | 520.63$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.94 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Packers | 51c | 513.68$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.68 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…25febacked Packers | 53c | 508.93$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Packers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a43bbacked Bears | 49c | 479.51$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Packers | 50c | 474.75$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…2546backed Packers | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Packers | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Bears | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Packers | 46c | 406.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Bears | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Bears | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Bears | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Packers | 55c | 363$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Packers | 53c | 313.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Packers | 52c | 308$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Bears | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Bears | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Bears | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Packers | 51c | 295$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…7288backed Packers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Packers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bears | 47c | 283.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Bears | 52c | 259.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bears | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7050backed Bears | 47c | 242.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Packers | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Bears | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Packers | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Bears | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Packers | 53c | 206.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Bears | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Bears | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Packers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Packers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Bears | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Bears | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Packers | 51c | 193.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…a2a1backed Packers | 52c | 191.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…c4edbacked Packers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Packers | 55c | 187.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers | 51c | 185.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bears | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Packers | 48c | 174.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-3.5)Packers won
- Bears vs. PackersPackers won
- Bears vs. Packers: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-10.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-5.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-7.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-9.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.