TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Lakers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,779,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,952,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,779,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks78c324,585$253,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,220.111,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks66c279,387$184,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,750.572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Lakers24c266,095$62,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,877.618333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Lakers34c220,588$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,999.9221057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers19c138,161$25,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,597.8585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Lakers34c90,000$30,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,949.138037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Knicks66c81,431$53,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,000.8948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Lakers37c62,776$22,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,92018140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks64c60,000$38,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,599.9487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Lakers36c48,870$17,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,593.1260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers32c43,714$14,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,099.072,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks64c43,386$27,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,442.754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Lakers34c41,691$14,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,174.838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks67c40,000$26,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,290.081,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Knicks64c39,342$25,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,163.2629055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks60c34,682$20,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,998.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers34c33,377$11,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,386.9923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers19c30,479$5,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,757.1148352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks66c30,135$19,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,333.875,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Lakers34c30,025$10,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,208.465349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Knicks66c30,000$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9720551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…b212backed Knicks66c28,390$18,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,683.951844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Lakers29c27,037$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,90012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers37c26,043$9,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,641.122,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Knicks63c25,000$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,249.9619653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks70c22,225$15,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,709.683,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac3c…d637backed Lakers40c21,700$8,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6802128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x484a…faf1backed Knicks60c21,700$13,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6801080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Lakers33c21,231$7,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,006.3827747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x152d…5d84backed Knicks64c20,000$12,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,234.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks65c19,268$12,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,820.021,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Lakers34c17,282$5,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,822.9839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Lakers37c15,899$5,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,852.637441.9%31 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers37c15,762$5,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,831.7751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers0c15,576$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.581,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8e…53a8backed Lakers0c15,350$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Knicks63c15,281$9,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,684.2255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Knicks74c15,089$11,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.1228554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Lakers34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10017646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Knicks67c15,000$10,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9507640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks73c14,739$10,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.91,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Lakers17c14,558$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.069640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4a…a3a3backed Knicks65c14,000$9,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9001070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Knicks51c13,759$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,679.2521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Lakers35c13,006$4,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,587.8428742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Knicks65c12,940$8,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,485.8648956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers39c12,664$4,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Knicks64c12,506$8,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.5566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Lakers33c11,612$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,831.8559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers32c11,356$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.714,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers29c11,253$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,210.781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x449a…a3c8backed Lakers52c11,000$5,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7571145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c2…561cbacked Knicks48c11,000$5,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7571154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4487…1ec1backed Lakers29c11,000$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.991729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Lakers22c10,923$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.5950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Lakers37c10,400$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84810035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Knicks63c10,400$6,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,847.999758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks65c10,250$6,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Knicks52c10,178$5,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.6415247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe194…cd47backed Lakers28c10,165$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8401764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Lakers48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9814243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Lakers40c9,755$3,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,931.4685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks64c9,161$5,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.153,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks64c8,717$5,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Lakers37c8,108$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Knicks63c8,102$5,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.5740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Knicks64c7,842$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.3219136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers37c7,568$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.821,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Knicks62c7,200$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.9314055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Lakers37c7,199$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.5914945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Knicks60c7,000$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.821,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Lakers38c6,972$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.1961939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Lakers0c6,690$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.098820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks66c6,418$4,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.251,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Knicks55c6,193$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.822458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Knicks65c6,154$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.8520849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b33…3d6abacked Lakers19c6,066$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.298531.8%27 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Lakers34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Lakers33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Lakers37c5,930$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.14327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Knicks66c5,918$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.285658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Knicks67c5,650$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.6357950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d93…d67abacked Knicks67c5,561$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.211376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb175…69a8backed Knicks61c5,361$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Lakers38c5,309$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.4648938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers7c5,231$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.391,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Lakers36c5,028$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81017436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Knicks64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9845348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Lakers35c4,895$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.6611949.6%59 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ebf…e50fbacked Lakers37c4,837$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.0165144.5%290 W · 361 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Knicks65c4,800$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Lakers45c4,716$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.7123747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Lakers23c4,593$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.269726.8%26 W · 71 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Knicks66c4,545$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.4556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Lakers47c4,543$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.622751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880a…e678backed Lakers41c4,368$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.882955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Knicks77c4,240$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.1619388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Lakers1c4,100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Knicks54c4,057$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.410158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.