TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under50c46,538$23,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,308.0340446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c20,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.971,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over51c13,894$7,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,077.3419954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c10,258$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.672,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over49c10,109$4,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,952.911,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c10,000$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00177348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c9,307$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.972,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under56c8,892$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.4720758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c8,152$4,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,889.172,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c7,524$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over50c6,927$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.721,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over40c6,540$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.131,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under51c6,318$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.0465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c5,523$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.411,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c4,887$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.374,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Over45c4,537$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.812853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c3,841$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.1580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over49c3,519$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.2551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over49c2,748$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.4711653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under56c2,676$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.7362546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c2,655$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.562,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under50c1,986$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.7917550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c1,965$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over51c1,513$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.2916550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c1,452$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.061,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c1,425$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over43c1,374$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.493,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0643543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51745647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c1,011$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.055,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over37c929.86$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.093,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c831.57$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.532,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under51c686.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.279556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under54c593$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.249843.9%43 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c568.28$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c526.97$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.941,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under54c518.52$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.527862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under78c512.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.511,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over49c406.48$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.851,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1641649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over28c376.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4436453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c363.12$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.042,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c352.44$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Over52c333$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1611048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over52c332.2$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0925846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over47c292.38$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4243244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over50c259.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9916347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under79c252.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9212865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over40c250$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.710541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9837750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over43c189.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3320638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under53c163.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0631155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c157.89$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.623,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6677…575cbacked Under52c151.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.153839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under53c139.76$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7645651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over47c139$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.094755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under55c124$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c122.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.161,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Over58c120.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8925847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea52…b082backed Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.381947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2126044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c108.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.463,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4716052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4855533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4941354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under56c96.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ef…e955backed Over48c93.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under63c89.06$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.865933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c84.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.881,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Under54c79.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.759247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over16c79.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7239842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc006…036abacked Over47c73.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.642931%9 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4322655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over48c70.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over35c70.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.949351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under73c66.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1817949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over48c62.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.986756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2749358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under51c59.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.932952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Under74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.058055%44 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.537959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.354854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c45.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.023,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over40c45.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1524846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.