TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks48c65,108$31,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,855.9887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers52c43,243$22,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,486.2944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,60051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks48c24,000$11,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,4801,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Lakers48c20,874$10,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,019.3859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks51c20,707$10,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,144.912,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Lakers51c20,000$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,299.681,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Knicks52c14,509$7,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,962.4948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf88…7aa4backed Lakers52c14,126$7,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,345.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Knicks48c13,826$6,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,189.3729055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Knicks49c6,145$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.093860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Knicks49c5,086$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.7110553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Knicks48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Lakers48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb090…f028backed Lakers52c4,085$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6767…d905backed Lakers53c4,032$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1371330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Lakers51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9513954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks52c3,500$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks52c3,413$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.443,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers51c2,942$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers47c2,636$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.892,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks49c2,179$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Lakers53c1,549$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.843850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Knicks52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4631551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks49c1,271$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.123,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks46c1,248$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lakers48c1,168$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks47c1,167$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers47c1,139$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.211,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Lakers52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Knicks52c848.11$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.496756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Lakers50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Knicks53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Lakers50c718.33$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.1614450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Lakers52c509.39$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9820638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Knicks49c411.35$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7912549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Lakers52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Lakers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Knicks48c337.3$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.111,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Lakers52c299.97$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9951651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Lakers70c286.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016853%89 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks53c233.13$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks30c210.8$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.563,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Lakers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fdb…8417backed Lakers49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98234.3%1 W · 22 L-7.5wins-0.32per pick37cpaid-82.6%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Knicks49c198.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.134047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Knicks52c194.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5978652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Knicks53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.628245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers67c158.47$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.291,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks51c144.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7753043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Lakers52c136.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Knicks49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4536247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers52c114$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.283,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Lakers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5152844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Knicks52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4837850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Lakers49c95.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4733554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Knicks51c95.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4737944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf97a…ed39backed Lakers50c91.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lakers51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Lakers53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3607…31ccbacked Knicks54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Knicks49c72.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0816250%81 W · 81 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Knicks51c72.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2821645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Knicks47c58.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.772,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Lakers52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307638.2%29 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Knicks59c52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.322,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Lakers52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513250%66 W · 66 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab15…d4a4backed Lakers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Lakers48c43.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.866240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Knicks48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6716546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Knicks52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…9e5bbacked Lakers53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.141850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Knicks49c35.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9734342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Knicks49c35.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9521243.4%92 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Knicks52c34.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6265950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Knicks51c33.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5516443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Knicks51c33.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5515040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0133backed Knicks49c30.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.654757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Knicks49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6138350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Knicks49c30.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3823144.2%102 W · 129 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab0f…9900backed Lakers52c30.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-54.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Knicks50c30.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0247852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Lakers50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Lakers53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Knicks50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb4…5602backed Knicks52c26.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.921650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks44c26.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.785,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e64…bbdebacked Knicks53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Lakers55c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.215933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78f8…c493backed Knicks53c25.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.972540%10 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Knicks53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7553945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c8…bc51backed Lakers53c24.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick51cpaid-79%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f88…c5f1backed Knicks53c23.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks53c22.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Knicks51c21.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6725143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efcebacked Knicks53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+61.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.