NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x996a4a7efa51e71ce0fa97d1c8e672ec3f76f19522c821bcc45f594578716ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $496,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $500,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Knicks | 54c | 130,000$70,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,799.78 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks | 53c | 88,665$46,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,672.41 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers | 46c | 60,173$27,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,679.64 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 52c | 42,696$22,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,685.11 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 46c | 32,600$14,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,996 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Knicks | 52c | 25,639$13,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,306.66 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Lakers | 47c | 24,576$11,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,510.55 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Lakers | 46c | 20,444$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…6080backed Lakers | 48c | 20,357$9,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,771.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 56c | 18,661$10,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,179.43 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…3cccbacked Lakers | 49c | 16,800$8,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,232 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…0706backed Knicks | 51c | 16,800$8,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,232 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf95…eb74backed Lakers | 49c | 16,500$8,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,085 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Knicks | 51c | 16,500$8,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…0abbbacked Lakers | 48c | 14,929$7,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,165.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Lakers | 47c | 14,894$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks | 54c | 14,043$7,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,489.39 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…11a0backed Lakers | 48c | 11,127$5,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 46c | 10,800$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Lakers | 45c | 10,445$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700.25 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.94 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Lakers | 49c | 9,657$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 45c | 9,628$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 47c | 8,214$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.5 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Lakers | 46c | 8,043$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 46c | 7,883$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 46c | 7,369$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 55c | 6,339$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.07 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Knicks | 54c | 5,980$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.63 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…f028backed Lakers | 48c | 5,974$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Lakers | 47c | 5,592$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.19 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…aa08backed Lakers | 49c | 5,482$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks | 54c | 5,434$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.44 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d8…c306backed Lakers | 47c | 5,429$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Knicks | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Lakers | 47c | 4,728$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Lakers | 48c | 3,828$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 50c | 3,672$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Knicks | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…fbfbbacked Lakers | 47c | 3,483$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lakers | 46c | 3,274$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 46c | 3,074$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.14 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Lakers | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Knicks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Knicks | 53c | 3,000$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.99 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks | 52c | 2,999$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.74 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 46c | 2,924$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Knicks | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 49c | 2,765$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.85 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Lakers | 47c | 2,660$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…4493backed Lakers | 46c | 2,446$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 46c | 2,368$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Lakers | 46c | 2,358$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Lakers | 47c | 2,323$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Knicks | 53c | 1,441$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.22 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Knicks | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Lakers | 47c | 1,337$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.32 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Lakers | 48c | 1,285$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Lakers | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lakers | 46c | 1,273$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Lakers | 47c | 1,261$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.68 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 24c | 1,182$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.01 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Knicks | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Knicks | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Knicks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Knicks | 53c | 935$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.45 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Lakers | 49c | 826.39$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.93 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 49c | 808.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Knicks | 50c | 630$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Lakers | 47c | 629.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Lakers | 47c | 617.02$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Lakers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks | 53c | 589.54$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.91 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Lakers | 46c | 505.05$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Lakers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Knicks | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 44c | 480.28$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Knicks | 52c | 478.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.71 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Lakers | 48c | 465.62$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Knicks | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lakers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Lakers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers | 47c | 409.57$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Lakers | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 36c | 376.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Knicks | 54c | 372.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 51c | 359.23$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Knicks | 60c | 352.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Knicks | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 46c | 334.41$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 45c | 322.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Knicks | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Lakers | 47c | 298.82$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks | 52c | 293.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Knicks | 58c | 293.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 49c | 287$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Knicks | 53c | 284.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lakers | 42c | 281.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Knicks | 53c | 268.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Lakers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.