NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef2811a8795e09bc2cb3efabda1e6ff7e9d93900745da3c618ace146a349a3e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 14,262$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,988.54 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…4ba1backed Over | 51c | 6,124$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.01 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,751$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,255$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…38b9backed Under | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ff…75adbacked Under | 49c | 2,124$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…1dd5backed Under | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,743$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…9ef0backed Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,207$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 53c | 1,013$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.99 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 956.65$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.19 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 542$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.16 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 51c | 358.71$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 299.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 56c | 250.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 48c | 242$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 204.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 47c | 194$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 189.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 163.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 53c | 151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…3111backed Over | 52c | 125.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…76ebbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 87.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 49c | 83.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 37c | 74.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7b…1d73backed Over | 50c | 50.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 47.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Over | 54c | 45.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 53c | 41.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 40.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 39.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 34.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 49c | 29.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 48c | 28.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…d79ebacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…ab94backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5this page
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Lakers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.