UFC · resolved market
O/U 2.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x177ae0e9894cf4805314073a76393490d48411f286246e805dea457580891366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 68,439$35,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,587.36 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Under | 46c | 19,035$8,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,279.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Over | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 17,834$8,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,312.53 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7backed Over | 52c | 10,660$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…df44backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 9,889$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.22 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 9,829$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.15 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 9,591$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.89 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Over | 53c | 9,419$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Under | 47c | 7,232$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.96 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Over | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Over | 52c | 6,065$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…5650backed Under | 48c | 6,050$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Under | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Under | 46c | 4,734$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.11 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked Under | 47c | 4,250$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…5e12backed Under | 49c | 4,192$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 4,048$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.07 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 47c | 3,002$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Over | 51c | 2,925$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 2,596$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.96 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 48c | 2,567$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…bb87backed Over | 50c | 2,561$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 51c | 2,555$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 45c | 2,522$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.1 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 48c | 2,420$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 56c | 2,379$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Under | 51c | 2,067$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.83 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 46c | 1,890$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.6 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Over | 54c | 1,837$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Over | 51c | 1,828$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.28 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…7a73backed Over | 52c | 1,800$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed Under | 48c | 1,640$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd024…35c0backed Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Under | 47c | 1,473$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.68 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Over | 56c | 1,323$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Over | 53c | 1,288$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 48c | 1,238$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…9683backed Under | 48c | 1,229$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 1,127$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.66 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Over | 53c | 1,125$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.48 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…5dcebacked Under | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.59 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Under | 48c | 1,052$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.86 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 46c | 1,046$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.84 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe580…3554backed Over | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Under | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.68 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 49c | 979$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…08bbbacked Under | 45c | 952$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Under | 52c | 884.4$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Under | 47c | 799.97$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.98 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Under | 48c | 786$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 46c | 785.4$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.02 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Over | 55c | 733.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…c177backed Under | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 46c | 728.38$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.53 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…6d33backed Over | 55c | 700.29$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…1ba8backed Over | 53c | 699.95$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 45c | 690.12$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Over | 53c | 687.36$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 639.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.91 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 50c | 637.81$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Over | 54c | 617.31$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.35 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Over | 51c | 599.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 46c | 592.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…22cdbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Over | 48c | 533.42$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 49c | 511.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 54c | 505.12$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…93fabacked Over | 46c | 488.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under | 44c | 458.71$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…de25backed Under | 46c | 450.37$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Under | 53c | 449.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 50c | 446$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…1e30backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Under | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 50c | 352.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Under | 46c | 321.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…a51cbacked Over | 47c | 317.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Under | 49c | 312.77$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 51c | 306$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 2.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway won
- Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.