MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb0f4f74ac96d528f823df53ad9b7606686b036253d0a1a3436bc6373abdbdaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Kansas City Royals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $671,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $671,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 259,497$118,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,306.03 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 204,800$93,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,626.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 53,561$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,204.45 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 49,794$27,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,909.56 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 45,648$27,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,639.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 41,565$30,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,566.2 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 23,663$14,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,211.55 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 16,675$9,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 13,333$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 12,040$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,711.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 11,112$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.4 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 10,666$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650.41 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…58c1backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 8,469$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 10c | 7,964$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,143.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 6,639$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…f63ebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 6,455$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 6,454$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 6,064$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 5,919$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.64 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 18c | 4,856$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 4,434$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.04 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 3,446$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,409$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…af03backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 3,349$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.59per pick | 27cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 3,227$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.29 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 2,779$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 2,515$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.72 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,278$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.92 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,181$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.45 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2cf8backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,126$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 2,038$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.89 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 2,006$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 1,900$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 1,534$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,529$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 27c | 1,500$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.44 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.54 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 1,436$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 1,340$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.58 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,308$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.52 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 1,247$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.52 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,240$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,200$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.5 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 1,024$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Minnesota Twins | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Kansas City Royals | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 997.91$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.06 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 920$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.2 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 890$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.3 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 873.89$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.25 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 857.15$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 840.66$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.69 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 833.33$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…b9b2backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +366.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb18…9897backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…c4a0backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.57per pick | 23cpaid | +349.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…e637backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 820.98$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 789.46$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 780$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…deabbacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 733.09$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 710.01$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Minnesota Twins | 23c | 703.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.09 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 700$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…08a5backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 700$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 31cpaid | +170%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +187%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 25cpaid | +268.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…ec86backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…b9bdbacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…ec06backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.48per pick | 24cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 666.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +122%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 605.21$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.87 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 579.73$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.16 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…494abacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 531.13$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.01 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 531.13$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.01 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Minnesota Twins | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 497.8$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.31 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 495.24$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 493.06$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.09 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 490.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.97 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 488$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.34 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.