MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61dfc9319fbdd16f7c90452817be62242c004ba2e833bedacf1e3c27499ba6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 51c | 24,282$12,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,322.4 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 5,927$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 4,705$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.28 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 4,550$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 4,222$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.04 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Under | 58c | 4,086$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 1,933$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,532$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.05 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 49c | 1,013$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 975$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 971.49$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 842.16$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.84 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 50c | 712.96$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.48 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 50c | 712.96$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.48 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 46c | 542.96$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.97 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…92d2backed Under | 75c | 515.11$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 51c | 376.96$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 237.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 224.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 220.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 49c | 213.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 51c | 203$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 51c | 187.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 49c | 179.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 165.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 62c | 151.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 149.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Under | 72c | 139.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 65c | 121.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 44c | 113.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 50c | 111.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 102.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Under | 69c | 97.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 92.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 55c | 89.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 87.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 46c | 71.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 40c | 68.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 51c | 55.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 50c | 55.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 43c | 51.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 32c | 50.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 41.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…e580backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 50c | 37.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 43c | 35.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 31.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 31.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 50c | 29.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 25.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1ca9backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 20.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Under | 71c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…9446backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Under | 72c | 17.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle MarinersCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.