MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42a55951aef16134e03a2fe5fd316a1fa2382f264a17c0a16f0a7a12cd8a69d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $891,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $898,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $891,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 208,326$108,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,329.51 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 201,665$103,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,121.46 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 187,789$90,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,650.03 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 81,487$27,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,793.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 72,125$34,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,504.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 62,962$28,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,596.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 36,035$18,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,737.99 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 34,000$17,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,140 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 27,455$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,454.55 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 26,449$13,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,753.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 15,793$8,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,212.49 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 15,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 14,538$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484.06 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 13,330$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,829.66 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 10,463$5,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.94 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 9,201$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 9,102$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.33 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 25c | 8,402$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.15 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 8,390$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 7,292$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 7,181$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.58 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 5,319$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 5,113$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 4,868$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 4,690$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.56 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 4,667$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 3,958$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.23 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 3,799$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 3,576$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,911$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,818$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.61 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,554$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.42 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 2,475$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.04 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 2,413$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 2,181$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.53 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 1,864$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.81 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 1,797$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.13 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 1,797$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.69 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 1,673$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.73 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 1,619$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,421$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,358$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.38 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…dc17backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 1,312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,283$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.33 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 1,246$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.14 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 1,233$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,118$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.31 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,042$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.44 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,016$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 999.98$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.09 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 985.18$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.44 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 922.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.95 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 912.25$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.49 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 888.89$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.89 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 846.31$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.31 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 779.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 777.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 738.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 732.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 727.74$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.11 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…861abacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 693.75$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Seattle Mariners | 21c | 648.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 620$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 598$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 580.87$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 575$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 532.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 518.66$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 505.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.41 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 488.45$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.