MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7528bd267396d7122421f5de76f690dee616ef3b6cf5262bc7820be7118d776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $806,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $805,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $806,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Under | 49c | 578,998$283,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295,078.94 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…4487backed Over | 51c | 339,578$173,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173,184.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 68c | 146,128$99,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,178.34 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 50c | 81,443$40,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,721.64 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,600 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 79,474$27,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,404.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 24c | 33,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 22,497$10,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.29 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 31c | 16,129$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Over | 51c | 14,600$7,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,446 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 51c | 12,160$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,201.46 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 3,947$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 3,193$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.73 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 50c | 2,914$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.01 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,745$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 54c | 2,234$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.91 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.97 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Over | 48c | 2,031$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.65 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 2,018$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 1,705$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 1,431$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.02 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 65c | 1,300$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 67c | 1,257$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 59c | 1,166$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 50c | 995.28$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 975$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 50c | 972.04$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.02 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 65c | 950.28$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.6 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 851$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.03 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 50c | 582.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.4 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 50c | 582.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.4 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 55c | 550.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.15 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…8e9fbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 29c | 488$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 48c | 421.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 394.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 73c | 391$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 368.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 320.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 54c | 281.7$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 271$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 51c | 256.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 211.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 78c | 175.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 54c | 163.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 51c | 162.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 34c | 160.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 50c | 160.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 27c | 159.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 40c | 156.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 135.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 36c | 132.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 49c | 123.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 76c | 114.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 43c | 105.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 50c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…4512backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Over | 52c | 84.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 74.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 42c | 60.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Over | 51c | 57.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 49c | 55.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 53.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 43c | 50.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…067ebacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 50c | 45.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…e580backed Under | 51c | 45.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.