TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8102…067e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.6
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.4
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.23
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.49
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.01
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$17.99
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.2
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$19.73
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Canadian Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Henrique Rochabacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Risticbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.93
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$54.6
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF Wetzlar: Ivan Gakhov vs Emilien Demanetbacked Emilien Demanet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Bonn: Clement Tabur vs Henri Squirebacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.8
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.1
Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)backed CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$32.6
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.49
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-81.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Michael Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 7 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Team to Advancebacked RSC Anderlecht · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.