TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c25,061$13,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,438.9610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over54c18,983$10,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,250.6946949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c14,950$6,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,025.2511,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over51c14,802$7,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,564.494,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under46c14,551$6,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,857.5492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Over48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9812343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under52c9,965$5,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,783.2485645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under46c9,088$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,907.2571650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under45c7,906$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,348.23,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over55c7,500$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.9948952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c7,370$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.734,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c4,934$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.191,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under47c4,800$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over55c3,640$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00269453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under50c3,203$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.9113856.5%78 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4987750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4939953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4938551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under47c3,111$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.3456253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under45c2,008$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.3645445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under48c1,707$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.6420845.2%94 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over45c1,483$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.732,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under47c1,240$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.352,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over54c1,208$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.1710547.6%50 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c1,024$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under48c922.29$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.5947350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4778,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c856.96$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.634,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under46c794.56$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0641346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under60c750.08$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0811560.9%70 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over52c695.52$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.6755658.1%323 W · 233 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under46c543$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2218741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over53c359$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.271,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.51,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over55c316.36$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17447545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over52c313.73$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.141,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under46c297.04$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.46036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over55c236$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.878155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over52c227.42$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.261,01350.3%510 W · 503 L+51.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Under47c170.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2216355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Under47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.576454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8199447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under46c147$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.381,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Under54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8916744.9%75 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over55c122.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4823255.2%128 W · 104 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under69c111.2$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4718272%131 W · 51 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,80353.8%970 W · 833 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Over52c98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8755448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Over46c95.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8615248%73 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under47c94.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9930554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over51c86.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1152750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over47c83.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4740446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over55c72.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0428751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under75c69.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6742451.9%220 W · 204 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under46c69.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5747345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over51c64.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7955645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba71…1209backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over54c60.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.531449.4%155 W · 159 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Under69c59.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.45468.5%37 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over51c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8488147.8%421 W · 460 L+4.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over50c52.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2773355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.527252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8102…067ebacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c47.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.856,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Over51c46.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.564856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a5…2fa8backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522254.1%120 W · 102 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over55c45.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.671,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over53c44.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7135747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c44.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.468,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over50c42.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4647056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under46c34.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under55c26.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.148651.6%251 W · 235 L+2.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…4c78backed Over55c26.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.618056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5550…4e4fbacked Under61c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.366459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Under45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.212140.5%49 W · 72 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x357a…951ebacked Over54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.