MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72c17c4cf45becbda7bf1a5d2ae541124412bbb4badd22e153e1e87d9505f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 36c | 5,325$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 64c | 1,024$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 35c | 894.69$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.78 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 64c | 825$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 35c | 714$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 575.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 64c | 491.73$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 65c | 383.61$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 64c | 341.28$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 36c | 305.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 12c | 262.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 37c | 133$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 34c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Under | 74c | 72.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 23c | 50.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 76c | 30.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 69c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 69c | 28.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 28.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…a931backed Under | 80c | 23.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 72c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 78c | 19.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 66c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.