MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4540154639ff68c33655e64dee609b90b10890ddfd7b39afc5d08154799d2df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 7,257$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.5 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 4,802$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.15 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 4,442$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.77 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 4,381$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.73 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 3,805$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.46 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 2,739$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.01 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 2,663$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.68 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 2,154$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.38 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 2,154$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.36 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,669$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.84 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 1,555$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.45 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 1,377$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.17 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 1,199$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.38 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 933.33$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 825$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.25 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 743.92$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.6 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 581$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 573.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 568.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.19 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 407.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.71 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 392.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 391.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 340.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…8e93backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 332.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 329.45$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.45 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 312.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 211.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 158.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 138.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 231 | 42.9%99 W · 132 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 133$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 90.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 62.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 57.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 51.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 47.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 47.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 46.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…680bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 43.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 25.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 22.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.