TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof Hanwha Life Esports, KT Rolster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4fd…748bbacked KT Rolster52c14,126$7,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,792.876338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Hanwha Life Esports48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9914342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked KT Rolster51c7,486$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,668.132555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Hanwha Life Esports50c5,601$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.2634340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Hanwha Life Esports48c5,499$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.125352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked KT Rolster50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Hanwha Life Esports48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed KT Rolster52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92020748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Hanwha Life Esports48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9947455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Hanwha Life Esports49c3,853$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88811032.7%36 W · 74 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked Hanwha Life Esports49c3,265$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60017852.8%94 W · 84 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked KT Rolster57c2,561$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.5834151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked KT Rolster50c2,228$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.917555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Hanwha Life Esports48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.997339.7%29 W · 44 L-9.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc129…34d2backed Hanwha Life Esports49c2,079$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Hanwha Life Esports49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.661045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Hanwha Life Esports50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010746.7%50 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Hanwha Life Esports49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Hanwha Life Esports49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9421154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1a68backed Hanwha Life Esports4c1,952$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707826.9%21 W · 57 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked KT Rolster52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0815443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed KT Rolster52c1,627$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.9646050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked KT Rolster51c1,563$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.9436155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Hanwha Life Esports49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Hanwha Life Esports49c1,289$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.51,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Hanwha Life Esports48c1,164$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.4417943.6%78 W · 101 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed KT Rolster52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8523053.9%124 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked KT Rolster52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8515752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked KT Rolster52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8514552.4%76 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed KT Rolster52c1,025$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.85147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hanwha Life Esports49c1,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4851,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed KT Rolster51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49015543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed KT Rolster51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed KT Rolster51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.998253.7%44 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked KT Rolster49c888$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.881,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Hanwha Life Esports48c840$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.22,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Hanwha Life Esports50c800.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008342.2%35 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd880…56ebbacked Hanwha Life Esports48c799.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.992544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Hanwha Life Esports50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3757851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed KT Rolster59c625.35$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.691,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed KT Rolster51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29496250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed Hanwha Life Esports49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2945448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed KT Rolster52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9239541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked KT Rolster50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25048847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked KT Rolster65c400$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2534742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed KT Rolster64c396.01$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9897854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed KT Rolster52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6210554.3%57 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked KT Rolster63c382.57$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.431439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked KT Rolster50c363.71$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.867243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed KT Rolster56c309.22$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.670443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed KT Rolster51c305.06$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4811643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Hanwha Life Esports49c295.92$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14522741%93 W · 134 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1636…977bbacked Hanwha Life Esports51c274.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked KT Rolster52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7736246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Hanwha Life Esports50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hanwha Life Esports12c212.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.712,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Hanwha Life Esports49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009459.6%56 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x797c…2038backed KT Rolster52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked KT Rolster51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0849346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Hanwha Life Esports51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006956.5%39 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked KT Rolster51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0814160.3%85 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed KT Rolster52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3152441%215 W · 309 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b6…0ab8backed KT Rolster52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked KT Rolster52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110639.6%42 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed KT Rolster54c185.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.497459.5%44 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe341…354dbacked KT Rolster54c185.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.474746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Hanwha Life Esports51c175$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7576047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cac…2cfbbacked Hanwha Life Esports50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed KT Rolster51c131$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1946248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Hanwha Life Esports49c122.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.892342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed KT Rolster51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.654557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked KT Rolster53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2110639.6%42 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Hanwha Life Esports48c107.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8746058%267 W · 193 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Hanwha Life Esports49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012251.6%63 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Hanwha Life Esports49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78c…fbfdbacked Hanwha Life Esports49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010339.8%41 W · 62 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed KT Rolster53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4736752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Hanwha Life Esports48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Hanwha Life Esports49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Hanwha Life Esports48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed KT Rolster49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ec…a3adbacked KT Rolster51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Hanwha Life Esports49c97.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4864435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8f…e7ffbacked Hanwha Life Esports49c92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.082425%6 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Hanwha Life Esports48c82.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040645.6%185 W · 221 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Hanwha Life Esports49c80.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.515955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Hanwha Life Esports48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.412539.2%49 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked KT Rolster51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4312153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked KT Rolster47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7534849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbef9…d257backed Hanwha Life Esports49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7516753.3%89 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed KT Rolster52c71.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1525542%107 W · 148 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked Hanwha Life Esports49c65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.856446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Hanwha Life Esports49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Hanwha Life Esports49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012436.3%45 W · 79 L-16.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Hanwha Life Esports50c60.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.335639.3%140 W · 216 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59fc…0102backed KT Rolster53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.29458.5%55 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…be17backed KT Rolster51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed KT Rolster51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8214960.4%90 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb73b…06d8backed Hanwha Life Esports49c57.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed KT Rolster52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6915450.6%78 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.