Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x626dcca00f94410008c57de84e4e9023b92b799cf164296217cd708ab5d48fe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 59c | 7,481$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.34 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 41c | 5,113$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.49 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 58c | 4,346$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.88 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 42c | 4,020$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.15 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 41c | 1,514$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.14 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 1,351$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.63 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 60c | 1,095$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.37 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 936.36$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.73 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 56c | 747.23$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 44c | 702$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.12 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed Over | 38c | 566.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.47 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 33c | 475$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 435.22$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.64 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 64c | 352.95$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 280.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 36c | 262.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 39c | 247.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797c…2038backed Under | 41c | 245.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…e5dbbacked Over | 44c | 232.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 42c | 220.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 65c | 200.22$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 44c | 160.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 57c | 156.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 41c | 128$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 69c | 120.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…30c1backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Over | 69c | 118.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 42c | 114.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 56c | 107.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 52c | 85.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 62c | 81.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 31c | 72.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 41c | 71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 41c | 63.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 42c | 57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 60c | 53.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…4c34backed Over | 64c | 48.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…fbd5backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked Over | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 42c | 35.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed Under | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…e023backed Under | 59c | 27.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Over | 65c | 23.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 311 | 59.8%186 W · 125 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 61c | 22.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.