Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc08fd6bd7e20269f612d576ff51a92c28d81817a237fb35bb3405ef7a0f52ca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ZETA DIVISIONof Nongshim RedForce, ZETA DIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 11,739$6,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.82 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 9,500$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 4,693$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.67 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 2,205$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.65 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 1,968$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed ZETA DIVISION | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 1,428$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.96 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 1,183$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.19 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed ZETA DIVISION | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed ZETA DIVISION | 47c | 962.96$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…5280backed ZETA DIVISION | 43c | 950$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ZETA DIVISION | 47c | 777$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed ZETA DIVISION | 50c | 668$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ZETA DIVISION | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed ZETA DIVISION | 46c | 595$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 511.77$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…767cbacked ZETA DIVISION | 44c | 455$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked ZETA DIVISION | 45c | 422.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed ZETA DIVISION | 45c | 365$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked ZETA DIVISION | 46c | 329.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ZETA DIVISION | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ZETA DIVISION | 46c | 286.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 256.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc768…d748backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 242.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 234.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 234.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…1b1fbacked ZETA DIVISION | 47c | 214.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed ZETA DIVISION | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked ZETA DIVISION | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked ZETA DIVISION | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…4fb7backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Nongshim RedForce | 43c | 188.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked ZETA DIVISION | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ZETA DIVISION | 50c | 148.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 145.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed ZETA DIVISION | 49c | 132$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ZETA DIVISION | 49c | 109.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 90.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed ZETA DIVISION | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed ZETA DIVISION | 44c | 74.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 70.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…633abacked Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 69.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 67.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 58.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 53.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…067ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 48.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed ZETA DIVISION | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 45.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked ZETA DIVISION | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 40.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…27d6backed ZETA DIVISION | 47c | 32.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed ZETA DIVISION | 49c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…6cbabacked Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…4009backed ZETA DIVISION | 45c | 22.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.