Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348a57acce01d64f13990773b546580ed3b6e4426f5ff65d5d7ff63e8b016482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 41c | 6,548$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.22 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 3,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 59c | 1,555$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.1 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 60c | 1,040$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 40c | 852.98$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.79 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Under | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 60c | 334.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Under | 27c | 266.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 40c | 240.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 60c | 227.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 60c | 173.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 59c | 140.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 60c | 124.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 41c | 70.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 60c | 66.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe66…8729backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 58c | 38.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)ZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.