MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa820b4d62ad99e6ca4af7221e5d39f13c772f4f48fe8b7359aa741de906078a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,169,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,209,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,169,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 350,255$202,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,865.57 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 186,011$78,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,303.96 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 67,925$36,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,436.96 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 55,828$28,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,255.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 51,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 44,548$22,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,766.44 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 28,942$14,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,710 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 27,680$14,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,726.41 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 26,105$13,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,105.89 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 25,977$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.59 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 18,328$9,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,897.36 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 15,746$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.88 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 12,404$5,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,637.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 11,321$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 11,016$5,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,373.73 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Chicago Cubs | 7c | 10,811$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.18 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 10,005$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 9,762$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…0061backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 9,341$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 7,456$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.14 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 7,298$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.42 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 6,854$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 6,288$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.69 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 6,239$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.76 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 5,580$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.27 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 5,025$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.5 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 4,771$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 4,717$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.14 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 4,637$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 4,539$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.93 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 4,245$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.45 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 3,906$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.75 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,774$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.73 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 3,699$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 3,619$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 3,513$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.7 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…8932backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…5e12backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 2,389$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.07 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,381$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Chicago Cubs | 7c | 2,268$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 2,250$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,231$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.53 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,188$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.46 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 2,083$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.93 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 2,048$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.08 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.91 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,990$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.22 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,727$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.92 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,677$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.28 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,673$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,599$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.21 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,560$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.83 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,559$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.08 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,431$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,361$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.72 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,361$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.72 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 1,346$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.28 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…2e8cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,200$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,147$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.04 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,071$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.47 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,029$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.11 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,013$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 996.47$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.97 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 935.29$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.29 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 928.82$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.82 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 872.32$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 854.6$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.32 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…fe98backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 834.2$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 819.58$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.84 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 810.98$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 809.2$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x119f…7a09backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 801.63$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 777$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.73 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 764.22$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.47 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.