TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Gen.G, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,006,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,200,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,006,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85d5…45eebacked T165c86,556$55,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,665.0359558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T137c81,456$30,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,012.071,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Gen.G64c63,573$40,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,686.6219239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked Gen.G59c35,345$20,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,742.1625453.5%136 W · 118 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked T136c34,927$12,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,353.2896048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed T137c30,922$11,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,480.6218429.9%55 W · 129 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Gen.G36c30,638$11,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,176.231,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Gen.G36c25,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Gen.G63c23,265$14,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,657.2438462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed T137c22,757$8,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,318.765366%35 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gen.G50c20,613$10,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,347.952,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…5e4fbacked Gen.G35c20,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0003043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed T136c18,768$6,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,985.7420748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Gen.G65c17,203$11,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,226.0118971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Gen.G35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25032555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed T137c15,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked T174c12,766$9,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.323372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Gen.G63c12,500$7,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874.9390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4074…ea32backed T137c11,358$4,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,155.391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed T136c10,863$3,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,980.131,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed T163c10,619$6,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.951,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Gen.G64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40014342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Gen.G63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9814553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed T139c9,878$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,016.8944451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked T155c9,250$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.711080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed Gen.G35c9,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15013037.7%49 W · 81 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Gen.G64c7,500$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80013344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Gen.G65c7,122$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.1730843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Gen.G64c7,031$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50023672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc5…c7cfbacked Gen.G65c6,661$4,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,298.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Gen.G47c6,543$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.3548157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked T136c6,400$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.989535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed97…8932backed Gen.G64c6,376$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…2208backed Gen.G63c6,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7805328.3%15 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked T136c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.9749940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed Gen.G64c5,922$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8006851.5%35 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed Gen.G63c5,500$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,49028859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Gen.G63c5,500$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4653268.8%22 W · 10 L+7.2wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+130.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed T136c5,409$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,487.931,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed T176c5,290$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.2641439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19c0…c8cdbacked Gen.G36c5,084$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.383020%6 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Gen.G64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20011245.5%51 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed T155c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25017250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed T163c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.985147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Gen.G35c4,999$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.625253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Gen.G58c4,950$2,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.559554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x789b…11f8backed Gen.G63c4,778$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.049751.5%50 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed T164c4,759$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.338951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gen.G64c4,667$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.441,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Gen.G65c4,638$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.664749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Gen.G36c4,377$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.695728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked T145c4,261$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.1613530.4%41 W · 94 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Gen.G34c4,118$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Gen.G60c3,992$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.2821347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Gen.G63c3,810$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.461,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Gen.G45c3,682$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.5469741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Gen.G62c3,608$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.027463.5%47 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed T136c3,500$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24032234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Gen.G61c3,439$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.221,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gen.G39c3,385$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.521,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d47…d0a2backed Gen.G64c3,375$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-55.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gen.G45c3,156$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.2885442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked T164c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12526155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf5…d9f2backed Gen.G64c3,111$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.281478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xacc8…eb83backed T136c3,098$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.443455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked Gen.G66c3,030$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.768060%48 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed T152c3,017$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.861,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Gen.G64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Gen.G36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9611435.1%40 W · 74 L+0.5wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Gen.G36c2,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00819150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed T163c2,790$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.7497854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Gen.G61c2,755$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.5724832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked T136c2,689$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.2348844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Gen.G64c2,675$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.150155.3%277 W · 224 L-21.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed T137c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57526729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked T141c2,444$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.9561045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed T137c2,401$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.8923938.1%91 W · 148 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked T142c2,316$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.021,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked T135c2,258$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.0675630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d1…52c5backed T141c2,250$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.54645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x885b…a30dbacked T166c2,130$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.144930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed T136c2,100$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3441,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed Gen.G49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Gen.G66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked T136c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2801838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked T137c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…38cebacked Gen.G64c1,993$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4260…d5d1backed T151c1,974$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.313857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091e…5bcabacked Gen.G1c1,959$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.596439.1%25 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Gen.G65c1,923$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25010746.7%50 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…de17backed T147c1,915$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.211643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Gen.G64c1,876$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.8750956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Gen.G59c1,863$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.2843839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked T136c1,845$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.0122547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed T137c1,834$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.469028.9%26 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed T136c1,830$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.3139541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Gen.G67c1,812$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.717143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Gen.G63c1,750$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Gen.G63c1,700$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0682842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed T137c1,686$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.47862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.