Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99b8e8f041cb3c8e32c86387d75a7ceb1396ba9a795a701e29d2bbadf5e3a9aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Gen.G
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7986…baa5backed T1 | 13c | 2,890$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.3 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked T1 | 50c | 547$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.5 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked T1 | 16c | 360$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked T1 | 41c | 299.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed T1 | 20c | 298.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.93 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Gen.G | 57c | 235.69$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Gen.G | 55c | 177.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked T1 | 42c | 174.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 134 | 29.1%39 W · 95 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…5e3dbacked T1 | 19c | 130$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed Gen.G | 50c | 127$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Gen.G | 68c | 126.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed T1 | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed T1 | 14c | 117.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Gen.G | 40c | 110.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked T1 | 47c | 76.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Gen.G | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Gen.G | 40c | 61.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed T1 | 38c | 59.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…dbbabacked T1 | 19c | 58.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gen.G | 80c | 58.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Gen.G | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Gen.G | 58c | 42.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gen.G | 76c | 35.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…cbdcbacked Gen.G | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gen.G | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Gen.G | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gen.G | 78c | 24.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Gen.G | 75c | 24.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…c020backed T1 | 77c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Gen.G | 77c | 17.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Gen.G | 77c | 17.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupT1 won
- LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.