TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7986…baa5backed Under51c12,068$6,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,914.2221347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over48c7,828$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.581,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over49c5,412$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.8854134.8%188 W · 353 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.983951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,541$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.8129347.8%140 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83b…2d16backed Over49c2,052$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over50c1,942$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.3613735%48 W · 89 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Over48c1,756$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.8610943.1%47 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over47c1,163$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.281,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c1,021$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.622,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under52c858.02$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.2724543.3%106 W · 139 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under52c820$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.69534.7%33 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009266.3%61 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over48c699.95$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9836155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over57c695.2$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.831,16866.1%772 W · 396 L+69.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under51c642$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1884942.5%361 W · 488 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac07…3193backed Under52c637.97$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.162445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over49c597.96$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29316745.5%76 W · 91 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed Under52c503.59$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.72742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29b…5e3dbacked Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408828.4%25 W · 63 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23016654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.419259.9%115 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over13c479.02$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5938931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over60c445.73$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3297254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over48c444.25$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Under54c442.99$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.669844.9%44 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over46c435.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.187142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a4…ad72backed Under54c435.18$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.181435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6210554.3%57 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over49c348$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5246050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15064243%276 W · 366 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under35c296.38$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.521,13331.1%352 W · 781 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf030…dbbabacked Under52c296.27$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd252…4058backed Under52c259.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa77c…819ebacked Under52c259.44$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1c…6016backed Under52c259.44$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7221…f8acbacked Under52c258.61$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under53c254$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3837342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x916a…a570backed Under53c250.57$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over46c239.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over47c224.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7128643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over52c191.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008547.1%40 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under47c174.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.761,45943.3%632 W · 827 L-33.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e78…fb29backed Under53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8115559.4%92 W · 63 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under52c165.78$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5821051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under39c153.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.381,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under52c153$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4417241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over46c143$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3546148.8%225 W · 236 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…50abbacked Under52c130.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.771283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+61.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4019…5506backed Under47c127.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under35c125.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1570443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under41c116.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0531439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511850.8%60 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over49c101.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9618…0265backed Over49c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…d2babacked Over49c98.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.284845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x233a…ae12backed Over48c97.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under38c95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0134742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over44c94.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5125851.9%134 W · 124 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39b…c3e6backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.294148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Over60c85.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4737161.7%229 W · 142 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under40c85.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.471,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under46c82.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.952,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under52c79.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1162942.4%267 W · 362 L-3.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Over78c76.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.515648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Under52c74.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8212348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over49c71.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.214450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under52c69.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.597843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Over49c61.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010950.5%55 W · 54 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8038…9547backed Over49c59.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.978557.6%49 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over37c51.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918639.2%73 W · 113 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57753.2%41 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over41c49.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.23957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under27c49.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.941,34931.1%420 W · 929 L-128.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under43c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8719553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over53c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7340441.8%169 W · 235 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…48bcbacked Over50c40.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.924645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3c…2b52backed Over59c34.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.63655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9623358.4%136 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under52c33.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1539555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over51c33.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.089857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad3f…d320backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over48c29.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3957655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over52c29.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…ddf8backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.854362.8%27 W · 16 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under53c26.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.651,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35c…33c8backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45a8…5aedbacked Over48c24.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.