UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc56ca6f0c6d37a467d3e0378ab2401763d9b3ed52169e97b2b29608a754a6e0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navajo Stirlingof Jan Blachowicz, Navajo Stirling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Jan Blachowicz | 25c | 147,611$37,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,375.3 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 99,999$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.76 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Navajo Stirling | 76c | 90,000$68,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.96 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Navajo Stirling | 75c | 72,312$54,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,171.45 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Navajo Stirling | 76c | 49,330$37,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,839.18 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jan Blachowicz | 23c | 48,595$11,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,260.29 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 25,517$18,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,634.38 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Navajo Stirling | 76c | 15,018$11,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.31 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Navajo Stirling | 77c | 14,000$10,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Jan Blachowicz | 23c | 12,900$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.69 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Jan Blachowicz | 26c | 12,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Navajo Stirling | 76c | 11,842$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.11 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Jan Blachowicz | 26c | 11,522$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Navajo Stirling | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Navajo Stirling | 77c | 7,778$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.89 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked Navajo Stirling | 73c | 7,700$5,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Navajo Stirling | 77c | 7,144$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.12 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Jan Blachowicz | 26c | 7,000$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Jan Blachowicz | 23c | 6,522$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Navajo Stirling | 77c | 6,493$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Navajo Stirling | 73c | 5,492$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.95 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Navajo Stirling | 73c | 5,000$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 4,959$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Jan Blachowicz | 8c | 4,833$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.97 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 4,781$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Navajo Stirling | 77c | 4,625$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Jan Blachowicz | 23c | 4,217$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 4,158$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Navajo Stirling | 73c | 4,005$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Navajo Stirling | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…4715backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 3,798$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Jan Blachowicz | 13c | 3,541$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.74 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 3,300$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Jan Blachowicz | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Navajo Stirling | 77c | 2,992$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.56 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…e167backed Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 2,917$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…081ebacked Navajo Stirling | 68c | 2,672$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 2,593$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Jan Blachowicz | 35c | 2,478$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.28 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Navajo Stirling | 73c | 2,472$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Navajo Stirling | 75c | 2,267$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 2,056$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.88 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…00efbacked Jan Blachowicz | 25c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Jan Blachowicz | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Jan Blachowicz | 25c | 1,991$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Navajo Stirling | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Jan Blachowicz | 25c | 1,933$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Jan Blachowicz | 25c | 1,925$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…cabbbacked Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 1,896$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Jan Blachowicz | 28c | 1,894$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.08 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Navajo Stirling | 73c | 1,864$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.59 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Jan Blachowicz | 27c | 1,861$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Jan Blachowicz | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Jan Blachowicz | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Navajo Stirling | 66c | 1,771$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.96 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Jan Blachowicz | 27c | 1,619$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.86 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Jan Blachowicz | 25c | 1,603$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Jan Blachowicz | 36c | 1,594$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.14 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Navajo Stirling | 77c | 1,578$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Jan Blachowicz | 20c | 1,509$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jan Blachowicz | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 1,414$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.36 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ea…b601backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214e…cbfebacked Jan Blachowicz | 26c | 1,341$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…237ebacked Jan Blachowicz | 27c | 1,341$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.66 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Navajo Stirling | 76c | 1,300$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 1,270$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.85 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Jan Blachowicz | 27c | 1,071$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Navajo Stirling | 77c | 1,051$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Jan Blachowicz | 24c | 1,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Jan Blachowicz | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Jan Blachowicz | 39c | 1,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Jan Blachowicz | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Jan Blachowicz | 25c | 999.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Navajo Stirling | 73c | 999.96$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jan Blachowicz | 21c | 996.41$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.63 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 977.23$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Jan Blachowicz | 36c | 959.98$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Jan Blachowicz | 20c | 953.92$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Jan Blachowicz | 32c | 938.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ba3abacked Jan Blachowicz | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Jan Blachowicz | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 900$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Jan Blachowicz | 23c | 870$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Jan Blachowicz | 4c | 840.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…8204backed Navajo Stirling | 72c | 827.74$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Jan Blachowicz | 21c | 802.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…e1d4backed Jan Blachowicz | 25c | 787.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…1752backed Navajo Stirling | 76c | 784.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Jan Blachowicz | 15c | 773$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Jan Blachowicz | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Jan Blachowicz win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Navajo Stirling win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.