CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7c2fd2f83ac196884f5583e7cd59d8f8c974570c471eb2d76b35a8b3851be89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof CYBERSHOKE Esports, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x575a…570ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 73c | 1,640$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…a1e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 1,500$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed megoshort | 34c | 1,379$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.39 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 1,218$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.79 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…c799backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 1,207$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.76 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 1,176$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.64 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed megoshort | 27c | 990.37$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.97 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 949.41$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.49 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked megoshort | 32c | 942.45$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.46 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked megoshort | 33c | 834.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed megoshort | 29c | 799.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 750$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 25c | 655.81$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed megoshort | 28c | 649.62$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.02 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed megoshort | 31c | 645.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.98 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed megoshort | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked megoshort | 26c | 459.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.26 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked megoshort | 35c | 360.34$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.34 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed megoshort | 24c | 333$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.22 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 322.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed megoshort | 33c | 308.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 262.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed megoshort | 33c | 245.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.55 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 194.64$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked megoshort | 34c | 160$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…a2d0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed megoshort | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed megoshort | 35c | 137.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked megoshort | 31c | 132.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed megoshort | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 115$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked megoshort | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed megoshort | 31c | 97.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked megoshort | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 78.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed megoshort | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed megoshort | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed megoshort | 23c | 56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 50.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 50.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked megoshort | 23c | 49.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 47.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked megoshort | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed megoshort | 32c | 42.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 42.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 41.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 39.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 36.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…d1f3backed megoshort | 34c | 35.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 30.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 30.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…7a58backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 29.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 28.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 27.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 20.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…067ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.