CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9315cce51acc963215b93bdbf7094990858ba0402f4d9b7a33521158ba35eda7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed megoshort | 43c | 8,381$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.04 | 1,461 | 39.3%574 W · 887 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.97 | 449 | 51%229 W · 220 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed megoshort | 74c | 6,000$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.55 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…b9b2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 6c | 3,488$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…ec86backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 24c | 2,960$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked megoshort | 52c | 2,590$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.1 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked megoshort | 18c | 2,280$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.43 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked megoshort | 47c | 2,059$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.77 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 16c | 1,660$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 1,542$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed megoshort | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.32 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 17c | 1,360$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…7de1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 1c | 1,312$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 1,130$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.46 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 9c | 1,045$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed megoshort | 39c | 942.88$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.85 | 1,042 | 53.1%553 W · 489 L | +62.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked megoshort | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 410 | 44.9%184 W · 226 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 11c | 821.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…50e7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked megoshort | 45c | 768.65$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.98 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked megoshort | 50c | 700$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.41 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 699.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 321 | 43.6%140 W · 181 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 37c | 644.12$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.16 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed megoshort | 44c | 631.34$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.57 | 433 | 55.2%239 W · 194 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 629.1$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.29 | 416 | 51%212 W · 204 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 605.81$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 8c | 600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 520.36$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.4 | 1,388 | 66.3%920 W · 468 L | +75.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…b9bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 16c | 505$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed megoshort | 8c | 491.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.98 | 255 | 42.4%108 W · 147 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…0f6bbacked megoshort | 32c | 469.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed megoshort | 20c | 376.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 365 | 38.9%142 W · 223 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked megoshort | 43c | 364$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 340$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 229 | 52.4%120 W · 109 L | +22.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 333$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.91 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed megoshort | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked megoshort | 55c | 207.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed megoshort | 25c | 202$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 55c | 185.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked megoshort | 26c | 157.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 748 | 53.5%400 W · 348 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 135$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 2,589 | 41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L | -123.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 126.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 234 | 38%89 W · 145 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 17c | 123.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…b067backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 122$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed megoshort | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed megoshort | 20c | 113.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 28c | 95.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 774 | 46.1%357 W · 417 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 26c | 87.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 51c | 79.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 233 | 45.9%107 W · 126 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed megoshort | 36c | 73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 20c | 70.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 669 | 49%328 W · 341 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 46.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 36.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,932 | 42.2%815 W · 1,117 L | -69.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 687 | 46.9%322 W · 365 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed megoshort | 41c | 29.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)megoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.