CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30702ff6cb2117a9d7b84b82a66991414e18307e4d56970e4776ebfdcc8c0c08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof megoshort, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 16c | 3,246$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed megoshort | 15c | 689.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed megoshort | 20c | 376.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed megoshort | 17c | 323$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked megoshort | 17c | 306.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked megoshort | 19c | 256$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed megoshort | 19c | 226.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked megoshort | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked megoshort | 19c | 172.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed megoshort | 20c | 155.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed megoshort | 17c | 132.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed megoshort | 17c | 101.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed megoshort | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed megoshort | 17c | 96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked megoshort | 17c | 90.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed megoshort | 19c | 86.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked megoshort | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed megoshort | 19c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 37.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)megoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.