MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28cd3f4d70d24251a9c3798b9fa611c747f392adb7779dd14c33e66624ecf07a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Miami Marlins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 55c | 85,975$47,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,912.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 39,570$16,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,228.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 26,470$10,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,616.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 16,189$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.05 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 15,667$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,266.47 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 14,644$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.74 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 12,766$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.96 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 54c | 8,440$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 7,800$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 55c | 7,534$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 7,245$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 6,201$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.69 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 5,568$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.41 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 5,524$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed New York Mets | 45c | 5,145$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.5 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed New York Mets | 54c | 3,843$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets | 60c | 3,196$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.64 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 59c | 3,001$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.65 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,974$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Mets | 74c | 2,785$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.55 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.96 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,464$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Mets | 59c | 2,430$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.56 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed New York Mets | 54c | 2,060$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.58 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed New York Mets | 51c | 2,002$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.74 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,991$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,932$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.4 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,654$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,651$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.27 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 1,648$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,634$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.92 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked New York Mets | 38c | 1,595$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.25 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,488$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.48 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,350$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,320$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.6 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 1,308$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 62c | 1,295$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,266$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.29 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,196$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.36 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,051$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 999.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets | 40c | 973.06$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.19 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…8e9fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 926$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 55c | 859.32$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.36 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked New York Mets | 60c | 855$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked New York Mets | 60c | 855$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed New York Mets | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 724.85$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked New York Mets | 54c | 629.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 568.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 567.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.92 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 68c | 550.45$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 540$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 530.55$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.53 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 519.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked New York Mets | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Mets | 54c | 486$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked New York Mets | 37c | 476.46$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 458.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed New York Mets | 54c | 435.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 433.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 429.55$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 429.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 385.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.42 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed New York Mets | 54c | 363.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 357.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 350.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets | 41c | 338.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 334.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 328$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 320.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 315.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Mets | 59c | 303.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked New York Mets | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 299.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked New York Mets | 63c | 298.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…680bbacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 296.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed New York Mets | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 273.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked New York Mets | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 269.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 263.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed New York Mets | 78c | 256$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 253.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.