England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051b8b3dce5a70861abca27d131ec9663d9c338baabf6b4ff4f9903cccea2ff7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $379,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $371,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,437 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ed4…e181backed Over	4c	42,795$1,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,843.23	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over	4c	38,888$1,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,427.74	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over	4c	36,354$1,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.8	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+6.6wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	4c	21,162$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.54	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	2c	13,667$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.39	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	0c	6,824$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	3c	5,995$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.95	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over	4c	5,910$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	4c	5,756$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.66	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over	4c	5,150$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.85	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3d…6039backed Over	4c	5,092$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b49…1762backed Over	4c	4,987$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	72	20.8%15 W · 57 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over	1c	4,851$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.85	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	4c	4,489$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.84	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	4c	4,277$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.58	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	2c	3,594$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.76	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over	4c	3,436$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+182.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	4c	3,385$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.62	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc5…d401backed Over	4c	3,193$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.33	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Over	4c	3,031$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	1c	2,697$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.54	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over	4c	2,510$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	204	27%55 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over	2c	2,337$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.16	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	4c	2,241$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.26	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	3c	1,645$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.77	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over	4c	1,100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	4c	982.01$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.18	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	3c	886.32$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.61	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Over	4c	852.02$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.72	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52d…99dabacked Over	4c	789.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	62	12.9%8 W · 54 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+120%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Over	4c	760$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	3c	754.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	3c	655.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb9…0429backed Over	4c	577.35$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca74…0365backed Over	4c	568.49$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f6…12eabacked Over	4c	561.77$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Over	4c	526.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	259	37.5%97 W · 162 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec09…485abacked Over	4c	526.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6408…63fabacked Over	4c	522$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Over	4c	500$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over	4c	499.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	4c	467.41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over	4c	462.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.27	652	53.8%351 W · 301 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6475…8028backed Over	4c	421$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	41	24.4%10 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over	4c	413.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.97	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c35…fb29backed Over	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf694…9d0cbacked Over	4c	394.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	123	43.9%54 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	4c	390$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	4c	384$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over	4c	350$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c5c…8d37backed Over	4c	343.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	4c	340.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	311	49.5%154 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	4c	327.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea4…9d9abacked Over	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over	4c	288.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over	4c	285.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over	4c	285.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over	4c	280.51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Over	4c	276.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5this page
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event