Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6acf51bb6ed9d871c8c21f4b63ca7041bd545dfd5adf14bb0d16328136f04d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 61c | 17,520$10,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,882.49 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 33c | 14,903$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.95 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 35c | 14,490$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…32e7backed No | 67c | 13,221$8,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 65c | 9,934$6,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.85 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 66c | 6,242$4,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.62 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 4,500$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.27 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…2f0dbacked No | 66c | 3,428$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.59 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…630bbacked No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +172%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d9…c8b1backed Yes | 34c | 2,914$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 64c | 2,735$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.27 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,540$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.9 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes | 7c | 2,502$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +14.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 1,929$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.4 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 1,770$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.63 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 44c | 1,730$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.09 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 77c | 1,415$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.08 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 31c | 1,360$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.77 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…49d2backed Yes | 44c | 1,280$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.03 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed No | 66c | 1,127$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.18 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…862abacked Yes | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 51c | 980.26$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.6 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 66c | 974.98$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.49 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 54c | 933.98$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.14 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 31c | 926.43$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.28 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 34c | 924.09$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.19 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…a004backed Yes | 78c | 912.99$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Yes | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Yes | 23c | 887.31$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 64c | 874.5$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.16 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 820.35$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…dcf6backed Yes | 32c | 799.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 38c | 792$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…86e0backed Yes | 34c | 788.3$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 41c | 771.92$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.26 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 40c | 753.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…21a2backed Yes | 35c | 749.2$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.22 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 44c | 698.47$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.33 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8d…22d7backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 659.31$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.31 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 67c | 657.63$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…af29backed No | 68c | 643.58$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.16 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…7334backed Yes | 33c | 602.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 10c | 600.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 35c | 551.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…81a4backed Yes | 45c | 537$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 526.65$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 525.88$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 49c | 524.25$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.51 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes | 34c | 517.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 30c | 478.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 64c | 465.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed No | 59c | 463.64$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 54c | 425.45$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…bc96backed Yes | 32c | 417$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…6851backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…8645backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…b202backed No | 67c | 399.96$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…d5b3backed No | 67c | 399.9$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Yes | 76c | 395.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 377.65$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 65c | 335.51$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…a774backed Yes | 27c | 335.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…c93fbacked No | 56c | 328.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.68 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Yes | 12c | 305.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…7baebacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…4f9fbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ef…cd3bbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…40b4backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7696…1683backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bee9backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…450ebacked Yes | 35c | 274.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…48d8backed No | 66c | 272.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…ea5ebacked Yes | 78c | 256.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…367dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 42c | 248.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…6866backed No | 49c | 246.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 38c | 240.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…08a4backed Yes | 34c | 240.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked Yes | 32c | 236.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 61c | 229.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 34c | 222.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…6f1abacked Yes | 12c | 219.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 58c | 218.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 38c | 216.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 35c | 208.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes | 28c | 208.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 153 | 25.5%39 W · 114 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked No | 72c | 206.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed Yes | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…0dbcbacked Yes | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…9d13backed Yes | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?this page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.