TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,579,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,642,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,579,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91ee…c5b8backed No55c879,974$486,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486,647.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No51c181,283$92,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,658.3610450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes44c175,427$77,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,446.6514146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes44c151,251$66,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,700.562437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes45c150,000$66,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,250.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c130,397$58,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,584.571,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes47c63,172$29,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,481.059154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c46,088$21,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,225.832,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes48c40,985$19,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,312.23366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c39,198$18,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,246.441,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes44c28,000$12,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,680933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No52c24,157$12,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,561.873450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes46c22,053$10,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,841.872075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes51c21,029$10,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,219.8257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes49c18,830$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,629.4640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes47c16,105$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,604.713645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No51c14,440$7,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,364.586048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c14,182$7,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,720.624,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No37c10,258$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.7283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes48c9,500$4,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.258246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes47c9,067$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,794.7368450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked Yes48c8,121$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,182.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes44c8,080$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.678940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf00c…f4febacked Yes68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c6,304$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.273,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes50c6,017$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.547337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes46c5,396$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.651250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes50c5,238$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.963345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes47c4,600$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4466538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes47c4,589$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.322448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes49c4,298$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.8232645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9747…961ebacked Yes47c4,111$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Yes48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+61.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.989443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes47c3,726$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c3,711$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.0319840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes48c3,428$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.4713844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes45c3,382$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.467653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x601f…242bbacked Yes68c2,920$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes47c2,807$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.4948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes42c2,738$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.014376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes42c2,738$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.017265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No32c2,670$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.47936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes49c2,651$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.0249447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c2,557$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No46c2,527$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.661,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No50c2,445$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.048160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes44c2,370$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.26764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes65c2,229$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.5513658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.335453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes48c2,042$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.671942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Yes50c1,920$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes45c1,878$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.782365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes47c1,842$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.213253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes60c1,782$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.921950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes47c1,654$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.196746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes53c1,549$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.7715459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes44c1,527$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.272650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8404245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked Yes49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7653658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes47c1,409$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.319255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes49c1,400$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71411566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes48c1,302$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.082839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No54c1,280$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.7319358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes48c1,277$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.9141751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6727349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No54c1,200$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.9410060%60 W · 40 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Yes46c1,173$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.682850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No52c1,144$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.9614250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Yes45c1,135$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.543844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Yes50c1,127$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.337560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.962927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.054456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.031729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51017859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9366…a9f6backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.0wins+0.38per pick54cpaid+80.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Yes46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb56…c1bcbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f0…3651backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6464…99adbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5449…518ebacked Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes45c949.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51845450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4779751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed No48c840$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No52c839.95$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2348251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4323863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No38c773.45$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.569330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes49c713.88$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.3840239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Yes47c712.39$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.722347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes59c699.49$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.1592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes48c686.6$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.2911333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Yes47c639.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.191145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No53c634.33$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.196839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes49c629.15$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.8617159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.