TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes28c26,738$7,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,486.723450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c25,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No77c5,107$3,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.513844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eaa…cba1backed No77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c3,865$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.0183444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No71c3,200$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92811054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c3,049$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.0457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc899…e1fdbacked No71c2,933$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.67887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick73cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c2,682$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.893,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes31c2,426$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.9314342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No71c2,400$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6969457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c2,080$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.41,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40610760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c1,218$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No71c1,200$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34810558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No75c1,143$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.269561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes15c1,135$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.14,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No71c1,058$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23212159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23210257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17410759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1749056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes21c546.22$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11421950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No71c522.09$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c521$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6199933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No71c520$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.89058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No71c520$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.89556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c519.22$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes23c492.21$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2918956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No71c425.53$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.43565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c420$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Yes6c416.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11217159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes20c374.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7713658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed No71c359.5$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.268100%8 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No71c332$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.889660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No71c320$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.89753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No71c312$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.489354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7405…478cbacked Yes30c310.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No68c304.86$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8610556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No71c280$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.28758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c252.27$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No79c249$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No77c244.26$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.185570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No71c220$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes27c203.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5413644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c199.06$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7275451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No73c150$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c4…2e13backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.426853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes32c118.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.891,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c105.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes29c99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7119358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes23c92.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0363553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No75c90$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6541348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.13661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes21c87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3640239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c83.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6114574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.69163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes30c77.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.172236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Yes27c75.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes14c75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1324048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes27c74.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.999441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No71c74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.463560%21 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1819646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes27c55.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.943129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes28c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…59acbacked Yes23c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.191346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104431.8%14 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+50.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411258%65 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No73c48.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3422246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes29c47.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes25c43.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No75c40.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3323455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No73c38.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.296360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No70c35.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.722466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed No71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No78c32.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.099330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No71c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes33c30.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.