TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65c4…2e13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT12644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$146.83
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$305.56
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$117.65
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$26.6
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$305.56
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$318.18
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$212.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26%+$6.51
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+128.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+177.7%+$88.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.