Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85152de1dbcf476f2047aeb1c4283a881461f46206ab00126ce8dbb93e0fd020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 47c | 44,725$20,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,751.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 31,724$18,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,283.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked No | 55c | 12,098$6,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,605.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 61c | 12,069$7,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,359.96 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 39c | 11,199$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,831.69 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 8,290$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.16 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Yes | 41c | 6,300$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 5,821$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 37c | 5,717$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.7 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 37c | 5,717$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.52 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 5,669$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.7 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked No | 68c | 3,726$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 68c | 2,942$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 2,693$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 58c | 1,951$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.52 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Yes | 32c | 1,216$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed No | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 44c | 988.6$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.61 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…0bafbacked Yes | 32c | 759.38$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 40c | 623$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 470.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 470.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 45c | 403$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 53c | 380.95$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 53c | 355.52$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.81 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 53c | 317.34$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 54c | 310.35$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.88 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…be69backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 44c | 224.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 46c | 218.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 53c | 211.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac0…6112backed Yes | 46c | 192.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 167.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 43c | 161.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 39c | 99.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 45c | 90.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…2041backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 59c | 74.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed Yes | 43c | 61.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 56c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 42c | 45.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8c…0983backed Yes | 45c | 42.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…2e13backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 46c | 40.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 43c | 37.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 50c | 36.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c6…9df0backed No | 61c | 35.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 47c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 55c | 33.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 53c | 26.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1463…5ea7backed Yes | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…7659backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed No | 59c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…133cbacked No | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…2c60backed No | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?No won
- Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.