TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$903,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,012,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $903,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 581 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex54c181,107$97,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,365.961,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons50c162,516$80,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,533.5328748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex50c74,103$37,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,415.433746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Yandex50c39,005$19,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,495.628847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex38c34,135$12,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,820.912,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Team Falcons44c29,306$12,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,411.393339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons68c24,049$16,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,611.634468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons46c22,351$10,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,078.8636041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Team Falcons45c21,533$9,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,843.136051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed Team Falcons46c20,169$9,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,989.337040%28 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Falcons50c15,000$7,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,463.395154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Yandex48c14,043$6,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,691.522644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Team Falcons46c13,500$6,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2906139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons67c12,500$8,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.5811953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons44c12,227$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,846.831248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons49c10,813$5,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,567.7280256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons53c10,636$5,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.351,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Team Yandex40c10,338$4,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,135.122347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons50c10,254$5,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,086.3813851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons50c10,231$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115.541056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons49c10,152$4,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,183.691,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Falcons57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.995149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons45c9,649$4,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,307.0426540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons52c7,715$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.8196557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Yandex51c6,765$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.4517452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Falcons51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9409839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Team Yandex57c5,181$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,93012557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Yandex52c5,093$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.8410646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Yandex51c5,036$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.5432652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Yandex53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65011647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons46c4,828$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.2264744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Yandex49c4,662$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.4818351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Team Yandex49c4,573$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.225740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Team Falcons47c4,455$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.823644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Yandex19c4,268$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.8643344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons47c4,215$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.116746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Yandex51c3,811$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.6839343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Falcons45c3,700$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.9910551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Team Yandex41c3,626$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.849650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex47c3,544$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.6395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex40c3,416$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.642,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons49c3,359$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.8593546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons47c3,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.6317948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons52c3,083$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.4489741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons46c3,056$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.2369644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63051140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Yandex50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Yandex49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47015144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex2c3,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team Falcons51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9924153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons53c2,999$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.4132951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Yandex49c2,929$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.230336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Falcons74c2,890$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.4535960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons51c2,861$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.4761456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Team Falcons51c2,800$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex31c2,732$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.9241242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex37c2,533$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.031,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Team Yandex49c2,500$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.4852046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Team Yandex42c2,427$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.7533453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons45c2,391$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.9460349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Team Falcons45c2,374$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Team Falcons56c2,302$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.95244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Team Falcons50c2,296$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.113560%21 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex53c2,251$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.8888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Team Falcons45c2,239$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.452445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Yandex40c2,218$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.7417443.7%76 W · 98 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Yandex44c2,113$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.7777256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Yandex3c2,093$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons60c2,056$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.821,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons50c2,032$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed Team Falcons48c2,000$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.443562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Team Falcons46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons62c1,931$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.821,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons64c1,923$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.441,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons40c1,917$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.4736547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5240…f84ebacked Team Falcons69c1,917$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.221566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Falcons56c1,904$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.6122543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex1c1,894$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9477458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad4d…dd89backed Team Yandex43c1,796$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.17736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons50c1,770$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88541351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons45c1,750$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.4960646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Team Yandex54c1,748$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.615949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8051…2ab5backed Team Yandex60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Yandex44c1,610$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.6320642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Yandex50c1,589$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6925752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Team Falcons46c1,584$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Team Falcons51c1,526$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.572133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons50c1,500$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.8636248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Team Falcons59c1,500$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.547656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc62d…74fcbacked Team Yandex1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Team Yandex50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Yandex45c1,499$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.3712146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Yandex45c1,423$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.1837832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Yandex49c1,396$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.0486659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons46c1,396$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.6522340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Yandex16c1,359$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Yandex40c1,345$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.1330138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Team Falcons46c1,300$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.992763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Team Falcons48c1,300$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.627349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc1…7f52backed Team Yandex2c1,279$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.366841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.