NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2987f4d1a608a179f9ee34fbbaff5404ef9aeb039f4e3d5d8b11f06bcde7bac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $479,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $560,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.94 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Over | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.97 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 48c | 22,730$10,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,903.54 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 52c | 20,114$10,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,654.88 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 47c | 17,058$8,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,017.14 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 48c | 16,667$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 48c | 14,792$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…83babacked Under | 48c | 13,542$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 48c | 12,600$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 12,195$9,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 50c | 11,944$5,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,971.9 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 10,824$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,838.66 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 48c | 10,228$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,909.65 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 9,375$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…7bc7backed Under | 48c | 7,840$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.14 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 48c | 7,075$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 48c | 6,698$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 6,642$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.12 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 58c | 6,173$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.27 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 6,110$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 48c | 6,022$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.64 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Over | 53c | 5,700$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a5bfbacked Under | 48c | 5,400$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 48c | 5,388$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.24 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 47c | 5,386$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.46 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 5,307$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 49c | 5,100$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 48c | 4,904$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 48c | 4,798$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 4,495$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.3 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 4,487$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.4 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 48c | 4,458$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Under | 49c | 3,594$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 58c | 3,429$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.09 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 33c | 3,123$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.74 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 48c | 3,123$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.01 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Over | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.96 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 52c | 2,587$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.76 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 52c | 2,416$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.68 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 55c | 2,310$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.6 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Over | 53c | 2,203$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 48c | 2,128$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.44 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 47c | 1,999$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.48 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 1,825$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.14 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 47c | 1,798$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.05 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 53c | 1,594$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 1,546$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.14 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 1,523$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.16 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,500$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.16 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.15 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 78c | 1,353$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.26 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 56c | 1,306$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.08 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 1,281$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.85 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 52c | 1,274$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.52 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…05bdbacked Over | 53c | 1,110$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.87 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 1,057$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.3 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 31c | 1,008$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.48 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…f949backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Under | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 53c | 960$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 52c | 959.69$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.65 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…c124backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 55c | 897.98$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.09 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Over | 53c | 894.34$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.34 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 56c | 894.25$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.18 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 48c | 810$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Under | 48c | 788.17$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 34c | 775.17$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.37 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 772$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 756.05$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 752.22$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.59 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 720.82$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.84 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 59c | 714.35$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.49 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…132bbacked Over | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 53c | 626.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.42 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.