TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$479,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$560,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over52c60,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,799.9425248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,999.974951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under48c22,730$10,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,903.5414842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over52c20,114$10,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,654.882166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under47c17,058$8,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,017.145940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under48c16,667$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0004042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under48c14,792$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1003540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b91…83babacked Under48c13,542$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under48c12,600$6,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0485655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over74c12,195$9,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over50c11,944$5,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,971.911946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c10,824$5,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,838.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under48c10,228$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,909.655442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under48c9,375$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.9989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a38…7bc7backed Under48c7,840$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,763333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under47c7,777$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,655.1418651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c7,075$3,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,39421943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under48c6,698$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2153342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c6,642$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.121,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003030%9 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over58c6,173$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.2793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c6,110$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under48c6,022$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.645935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8203467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Over53c5,700$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6793743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.387963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under48c5,625$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7005940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a5bfbacked Under48c5,400$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under48c5,388$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.2414441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under47c5,386$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.4649244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c5,307$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under49c5,100$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4004148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under48c4,904$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.85345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under48c4,798$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3034951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c4,495$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c4,487$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under48c4,458$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1403641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Under49c3,594$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7556055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over58c3,429$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.0952461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under33c3,123$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.7456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under48c3,123$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.0152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Over51c2,800$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.9637954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over52c2,587$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.765358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over52c2,416$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.6843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over55c2,310$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.61,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Over53c2,203$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.991872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+54.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c2,128$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.4416946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under47c1,999$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.4830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0820247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c1,825$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.1469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over52c1,800$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c1,798$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.0544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Over53c1,594$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.343256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over52c1,546$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.1456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c1,523$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.1652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.439447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,500$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.161,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c1,365$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.1518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over78c1,353$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2620353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over56c1,306$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.081,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.9916050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c1,281$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.8555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over52c1,274$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.5220537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Over53c1,110$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.873948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over52c1,057$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.31,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under31c1,008$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.481,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48020057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Under23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over51c999.97$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9927246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over53c960$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.23948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over52c959.69$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6514640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.412048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.48654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1f…c124backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over55c897.98$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.0936051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Over53c894.34$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.343444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over56c894.25$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.184463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under48c810$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.83562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38410750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Under48c788.17$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under34c775.17$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c772$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.561,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c756.05$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7225360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under49c752.22$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c720.82$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.8462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over59c714.35$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d25…132bbacked Over53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over53c626.42$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.4214049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.