NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37331f239a51b1901becf0ceaf8017daf8183aae6c4e28e8ee60a87dbc7a57a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 68c | 18,479$12,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,893.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 28c | 11,856$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.02 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Thunder | 22c | 10,498$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,208.54 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 67c | 9,576$6,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,397.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 36c | 7,727$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.74 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Thunder | 22c | 7,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.7 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 44c | 5,751$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.09 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Thunder | 22c | 4,546$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.79 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Spurs | 67c | 4,369$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 62c | 4,353$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.04 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Spurs | 42c | 4,037$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…a704backed Spurs | 43c | 3,828$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 59c | 3,102$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.26 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Spurs | 80c | 2,903$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder | 6c | 2,766$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.96 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 55c | 2,555$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.67 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Thunder | 64c | 2,536$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.88 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Thunder | 46c | 2,404$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.24 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Spurs | 79c | 2,219$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.69 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Spurs | 57c | 2,108$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.99 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs | 47c | 1,920$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,900$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 59c | 1,694$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.45 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 28c | 1,603$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.82 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Thunder | 69c | 1,281$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.56 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs | 62c | 1,200$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.99 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 14c | 1,189$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.58 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5506backed Spurs | 78c | 1,160$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs | 78c | 1,089$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.72 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Spurs | 40c | 1,045$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.83 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 21c | 1,029$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.43 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Thunder | 21c | 1,001$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.68 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Thunder | 69c | 911.64$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 78c | 894.42$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.22 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Thunder | 77c | 890.91$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 21c | 771.66$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.73 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Thunder | 65c | 770.7$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.01 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Spurs | 78c | 767.78$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.87 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…db22backed Spurs | 70c | 750$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Thunder | 40c | 749.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.76 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Thunder | 42c | 743.51$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.69 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 78c | 627.08$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.12 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 78c | 623$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs | 38c | 620.6$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder | 22c | 604$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 41c | 581.49$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.08 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 49c | 580.47$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 60c | 571$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 56c | 535.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.87 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Spurs | 43c | 524.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 40c | 521.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.19 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs | 45c | 515.6$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.71 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 59c | 508.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.88 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Spurs | 73c | 478.53$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Spurs | 18c | 478$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs | 18c | 478$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 22c | 460$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 40c | 457.94$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Spurs | 21c | 440$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 42c | 416.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.79 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Thunder | 57c | 406.61$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…ba49backed Spurs | 43c | 405.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Spurs | 20c | 403$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Thunder | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs | 72c | 398.8$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Spurs | 60c | 395$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs | 78c | 389$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.37 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Thunder | 21c | 386.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.26 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 69c | 384.23$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Spurs | 18c | 383$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Spurs | 78c | 381.46$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Spurs | 53c | 377.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 19c | 373.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 49c | 362.82$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Spurs | 79c | 358.64$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.12 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Spurs | 56c | 355.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Spurs | 30c | 336.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 65c | 335.69$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 39c | 302.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Thunder | 62c | 284$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Thunder | 21c | 260.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 37c | 251.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 22c | 250.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 80c | 242.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked Spurs | 52c | 204.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Spurs | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f3…73e6backed Spurs | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…e91cbacked Spurs | 61c | 199.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 66c | 196.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…24a0backed Thunder | 51c | 177.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked Thunder | 13c | 173.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 43c | 166.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 70c | 164.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Thunder | 62c | 156.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 19c | 154$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 22c | 154$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.