NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c46e28b04b7d44b7e0a46d23bfb6c4234f2f7d34696483b1ae1f4fd70660539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 57c | 10,662$6,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.49 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 43c | 5,676$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes | 65c | 4,589$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.19 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +8.7wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +97%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 46c | 2,706$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.07 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 42c | 2,449$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.54 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed No | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 33c | 2,290$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.86 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked No | 58c | 1,894$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.57 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed No | 41c | 1,084$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 41c | 999.93$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.97 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 58c | 769.42$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.16 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 43c | 699.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 44c | 690$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 59c | 625.13$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.87 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Yes | 58c | 612.07$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…2730backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 44c | 555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 42c | 554.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 63c | 525.75$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 40c | 502.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 61c | 466.62$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 50c | 459.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…5ffebacked Yes | 57c | 422.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 57c | 400$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Yes | 62c | 387.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 41c | 351.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 38c | 308.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…43eabacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Yes | 62c | 289.69$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 287.65$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked No | 43c | 258.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…9a6abacked Yes | 59c | 255.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…de70backed Yes | 59c | 247.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…50b2backed Yes | 59c | 232.22$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 6c | 229.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed No | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…84b6backed Yes | 53c | 187.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Yes | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Yes | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 44c | 179$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 59c | 169.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 59c | 166.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked No | 60c | 130.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…37d2backed No | 44c | 114.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 37c | 113.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes | 44c | 111.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4f…2510backed Yes | 57c | 111.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 46c | 103.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…82b2backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Yes | 59c | 93.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…7259backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Yes | 49c | 80.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed No | 43c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Yes | 80c | 75.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…1485backed Yes | 50c | 72.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…0220backed No | 45c | 71.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 59c | 66.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 39c | 60.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…94d6backed Yes | 60c | 55.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 58c | 54.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f3…d3e7backed Yes | 47c | 53.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a0…8ccebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 60c | 49.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…f5febacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…fbb1backed No | 44c | 46.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 43c | 43.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 58c | 43.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…c603backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Yes | 54c | 39.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 43c | 37.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…0199backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Yes | 60c | 36.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff4…8720backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…957fbacked Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…4478backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…1359backed Yes | 57c | 33.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.