TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes57c10,662$6,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.4920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No43c5,676$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,43295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes65c4,589$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.192382.6%19 W · 4 L+8.7wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+97%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No46c2,706$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.071,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No42c2,449$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.545358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed No43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03221549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No33c2,290$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.8679650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked No58c1,894$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.5712543.2%54 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed No41c1,084$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No41c999.93$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.976147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes58c769.42$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.167950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No43c699.98$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9990863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No44c690$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.67751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes59c625.13$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8713759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Yes58c612.07$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.071866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x91dd…2730backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.222060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+96.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No44c555$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.224949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No42c554.99$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes63c525.75$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.557835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No40c502.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes61c466.62$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.623060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes50c459.77$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.774560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1955…5ffebacked Yes57c422.94$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Yes57c400$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17144345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed Yes62c387.23$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No41c351.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.451,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.837441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No38c308.5$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.236028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd70c…43eabacked Yes21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2371050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Yes62c289.69$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6914357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes58c287.65$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes59c260$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.624955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked No43c258.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3512450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…9a6abacked Yes59c255.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b24…de70backed Yes59c247.13$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.13966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf137…50b2backed Yes59c232.22$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.211973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No6c229.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.938783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed No39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7830544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9d…84b6backed Yes53c187.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Yes58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.66238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Yes48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.63756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No44c179$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7636153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Yes59c169.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0913555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes59c166.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.286246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked Yes61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.54942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked No60c130.91$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.175664.3%36 W · 20 L+9.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No43c130$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.944747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf875…37d2backed No44c114.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No37c113.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0919352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes44c111.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.819941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e4f…2510backed Yes57c111.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.593852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No46c103.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7785449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes58c95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Yes59c93.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2739864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3aab…7259backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7510636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9541…b58ebacked Yes49c80.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8610725.2%27 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.815351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3baa…96f4backed No43c78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.542646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Yes80c75.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3411347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6711…1485backed Yes50c72.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+45.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62d1…0220backed No45c71.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0315041.3%62 W · 88 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Yes59c66.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No39c60.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed No42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac6…94d6backed Yes60c55.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.581060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5611645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf5…e7c3backed No65c55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.65468.5%37 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes58c54.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1811136%40 W · 71 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f3…d3e7backed Yes47c53.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.525135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes62c51.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612552%13 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.853554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a0…8ccebacked Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.531540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.512642.9%54 W · 72 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed Yes60c49.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7210144.6%45 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fc…f5febacked Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce98…fbb1backed No44c46.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No43c43.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.715451.9%28 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-15.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Yes58c43.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3110855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Yes60c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1e…c603backed Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Yes54c39.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1211450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed No43c37.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3215562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7385…0199backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.044864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Yes60c36.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.473964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaff4…8720backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce2…957fbacked Yes57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…4478backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.96350.8%32 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a9e…1359backed Yes57c33.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.392254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f48…8275backed No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204156.1%23 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.