NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea42607da2e5583d4dad68bac9e0995f07146c5f290c466d293fc56b29a8692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 61c | 34,238$20,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,885.42 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder | 39c | 17,331$6,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,571.97 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 39c | 7,787$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.16 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 53c | 6,502$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.89 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 39c | 5,226$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.04 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 49c | 5,129$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 42c | 4,232$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.97 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Thunder | 37c | 4,172$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 51c | 4,168$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.2 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Thunder | 62c | 3,120$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…7bcfbacked Thunder | 42c | 2,726$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Spurs | 74c | 2,240$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.98 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Thunder | 39c | 2,150$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.44 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs | 5c | 2,090$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 40c | 1,961$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.27 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Thunder | 40c | 1,944$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.15 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,842$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.36 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 58c | 1,534$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.38 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Thunder | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.83 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Thunder | 39c | 1,468$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.3 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Thunder | 56c | 1,375$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…4209backed Thunder | 79c | 1,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.51 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Thunder | 39c | 1,212$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.18 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 16c | 1,200$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 57c | 1,024$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.44 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 61c | 999.86$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.91 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Spurs | 49c | 993.74$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.93 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Spurs | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 45c | 977.78$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 41c | 936.33$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 39c | 909.18$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 39c | 884.72$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.89 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 62c | 873.23$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.64 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Thunder | 39c | 871.79$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 79c | 867$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs | 10c | 861.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…bcc2backed Thunder | 40c | 860$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 50c | 856.74$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.61 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spurs | 49c | 834.79$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.35 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 61c | 790.15$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.03 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…ba87backed Thunder | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 62c | 711.25$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.61 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder | 46c | 669.93$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.02 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Spurs | 61c | 632.79$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 43c | 628.84$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Thunder | 50c | 607.35$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.35 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Thunder | 37c | 567.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.57 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 51c | 535$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Spurs | 44c | 531$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.33 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 53c | 528.49$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.68 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 45c | 525.55$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.53 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Thunder | 39c | 513.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.31 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Thunder | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Thunder | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Spurs | 61c | 497.54$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Thunder | 39c | 460.31$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 48c | 442.05$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.63 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Thunder | 56c | 412.14$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 52c | 375.06$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Spurs | 63c | 318.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Thunder | 46c | 287$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Spurs | 38c | 278$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…879bbacked Thunder | 56c | 253.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed Spurs | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Spurs | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Spurs | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Spurs | 7c | 229.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…2713backed Thunder | 39c | 227.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Thunder | 37c | 222$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 40c | 202.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Spurs | 50c | 199.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 15c | 199$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Thunder | 42c | 194.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…4961backed Thunder | 39c | 181.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 56c | 176.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 63c | 163.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 48c | 160.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spurs | 63c | 145.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Spurs | 61c | 142.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Thunder | 39c | 138.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…48f2backed Spurs | 62c | 136$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 63c | 132.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…50f6backed Spurs | 10c | 132.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Thunder | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Thunder | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Thunder | 38c | 128.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Thunder | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Thunder | 38c | 118$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs | 63c | 117.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 56c | 112.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Thunder | 51c | 100.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Thunder | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Spurs | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thunder | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Spurs | 62c | 91.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Thunder | 59c | 90.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.