NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13773b82ed27e1870e70c393b56abf4fc913b8397c46a5c042b099f2115a5b5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 50c | 100,902$50,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,950.99 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 46c | 71,153$32,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,730.08 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 54,501$27,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,152.69 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 48,400$24,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,121.18 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 49c | 44,749$21,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,821.88 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 45c | 25,264$11,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,367.81 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 19,605$9,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,189.5 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 11,959$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.1 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 54c | 11,796$6,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.07 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 46c | 11,316$5,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.04 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 53c | 7,777$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.79 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 7,682$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 51c | 6,290$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.75 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 52c | 6,200$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.12 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 4,646$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 52c | 4,183$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.23 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Under | 52c | 3,684$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 3,627$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Over | 48c | 3,141$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 57c | 2,895$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.88 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 2,831$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.31 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 60c | 2,667$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.28 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 2,479$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.1 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 52c | 2,267$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 2,260$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.58 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 2,052$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.15 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.93 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,800$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.28 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 50c | 1,786$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.96 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.81 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 44c | 1,498$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.09 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 48c | 1,466$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.92 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 62c | 1,288$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.17 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 53c | 1,238$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.32 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 1,222$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.87 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Under | 2c | 1,208$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 53c | 1,088$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.47 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 44c | 1,071$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Under | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 985.82$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.05 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 56c | 982.14$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 52c | 931.29$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.27 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 927$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.78 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 56c | 884$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Over | 57c | 842.11$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 49c | 799.98$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 731.2$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.22 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 702.62$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.89 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 48c | 699.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Over | 47c | 691.49$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.49 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 47c | 673.92$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.76 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 51c | 667.39$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 32c | 645.36$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.52 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 643$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 50c | 529.74$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.63 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 37c | 467.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.67 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Under | 54c | 451.85$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…3a93backed Under | 24c | 444.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 52c | 416.66$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 47c | 406.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 363.15$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Over | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Over | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 51c | 339.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 323.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 54c | 318.89$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Under | 53c | 282$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 246.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…914ebacked Under | 41c | 244.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…9041backed Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 53c | 208.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Over | 48c | 204.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 49c | 200.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f190backed Under | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…835ebacked Under | 54c | 153.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 53c | 150.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 55c | 147.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.