TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7385…0199

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$36.37
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$185.64
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.24
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$671
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$20.6
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.41
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$79.89
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.13
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.5
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$16.13
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$63.34
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$60.03
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$30.36
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$32.39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$26.22
Arda Güler: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.08
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$33.4
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.78
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.26
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.2
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+154%+$20.3
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$79.84
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$118.25
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.21
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37.16
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$52.43
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$14.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$28.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Caranobacked Carano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.