Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f08ff8f32abc3c42234c1cde364f2dd074f70a403c482a4eddc3a38e372c7b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ccf…f092backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 52c | 9,372$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 9,234$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 8,369$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 5,246$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.41 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 49c | 3,880$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 3,013$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 52c | 2,082$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 1,826$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.97 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 54c | 1,522$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.97 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 72c | 1,087$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.15 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…48debacked No | 49c | 860$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 53c | 773.37$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 53c | 735.85$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.85 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 724.05$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed Yes | 51c | 604.55$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 65c | 499.86$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 63c | 458.87$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…b943backed Yes | 51c | 439.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 53c | 436.98$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 48c | 377.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 67c | 372.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 296.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 40c | 255$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 11c | 245.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yes | 64c | 210.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 57c | 202.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…794abacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 46c | 183.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 45c | 159.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 56c | 145.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…c63dbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 134.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 52c | 124.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 48c | 124$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…a7babacked Yes | 68c | 114.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…7dcabacked Yes | 54c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked Yes | 52c | 108.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 51c | 105.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed No | 48c | 103.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 52c | 102.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…e190backed No | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…29bfbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…8eb3backed No | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked No | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…34d1backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…0199backed Yes | 56c | 84.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…a00bbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Yes | 54c | 70.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 67.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…c387backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed No | 49c | 56.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 48.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…eab0backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 56c | 40.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…2175backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…a467backed No | 48c | 37.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…63edbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa4…c23abacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…9c6dbacked Yes | 55c | 27.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…acdebacked Yes | 51c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed No | 49c | 22.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492e…d5babacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?No won
- Ecuador leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.