Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d8c26e2bc657dc6c873267292403f07128a050928fbc23cfab0ae5ef79a3ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 28c | 26,586$7,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444.06 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Yes | 29c | 19,428$5,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,672.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 72c | 16,000$11,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 12,255$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.83 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 10,829$8,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.04 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 10,661$7,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.57 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 8,634$6,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 72c | 6,400$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.88 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 28c | 4,775$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.59 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 4,232$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.71 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 3,677$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 3,341$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,572$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 1,975$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.88 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…ee3ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,786$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 1,413$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 76c | 1,270$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 1,124$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.74 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked Yes | 31c | 1,111$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.77 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 72c | 977.54$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.71 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 72c | 932.93$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.22 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 72c | 864.32$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.01 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…e67bbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 77c | 712.84$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 72c | 555.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 72c | 555.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 72c | 547.93$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 28c | 499.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 20c | 495.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 23c | 378.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 19c | 342.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…e6bdbacked Yes | 15c | 326.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 23c | 253$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 249.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 19c | 213.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 208.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Yes | 31c | 190.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 183.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…f7e3backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…ca67backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f0ecbacked Yes | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…3296backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 22c | 136.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 73c | 129$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 126$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…7c96backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 29c | 124.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 119.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 28c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bc…ece0backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 29c | 82.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…cbf5backed Yes | 19c | 74.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619d…5b81backed Yes | 28c | 52.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…04e6backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…16aebacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 48.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 28c | 42.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…7538backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 72c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 79c | 28.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 74c | 24.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 72c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 73c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed No | 74c | 18.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 72c | 18.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 72c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed No | 74c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked No | 72c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador leading at halftime?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?No won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.