Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8902db52dd7724738ffd5269b6b71ca8a0de855a7d724c36dde66a669fb3d466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 50c | 113,837$56,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,780.08 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 50c | 54,695$27,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,347.48 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 44,155$25,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,264.65 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 52c | 19,402$10,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,385.08 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 16,778$8,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,389.04 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under | 52c | 14,318$7,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,872.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 51c | 8,829$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.73 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 8,575$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.29 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 6,126$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.6 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Over | 46c | 4,300$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 40c | 4,043$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 3,825$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.03 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 3,259$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.46 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 49c | 3,142$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 51c | 3,050$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.5 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 49c | 3,005$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 2c | 2,829$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,686$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.97 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 9c | 1,855$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.53 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 10c | 1,576$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…cdfcbacked Under | 65c | 1,572$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 49c | 1,368$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.58 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 49c | 1,365$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.75 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 50c | 1,288$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.87 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…632fbacked Over | 16c | 1,131$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 77c | 1,111$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.91 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed Over | 49c | 1,058$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 55c | 999.77$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 51c | 998$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 48c | 996.36$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.27 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 50c | 980.14$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.07 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 779.96$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.81 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 777$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 684.07$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.19 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Over | 48c | 668.33$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 637.67$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 50c | 637.27$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.64 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 2c | 625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 620.71$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.93 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 18c | 565.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 49c | 530.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 525.8$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 513.09$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 483.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 37c | 449.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 437.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.12 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 43c | 416.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 401.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 49c | 394$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 50c | 392$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 50c | 385.58$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Over | 51c | 369$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under | 51c | 316.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 292.01$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f37…f96fbacked Over | 49c | 289.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Under | 71c | 281.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 27c | 257.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 51c | 232.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Under | 51c | 222$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.