TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over72c20,113$14,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,631.531566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c14,853$7,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,929.636,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over42c10,621$4,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,166.8988635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under61c8,243$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under31c7,300$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over71c7,042$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.258949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under29c6,404$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.215552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over32c5,601$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc68b…f6eebacked Under28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c4,485$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.231,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under50c4,454$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2273551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c4,398$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.524,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c3,846$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.4976842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under28c3,410$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.8235941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c3,369$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.42,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52513721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c1,800$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over47c1,669$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.623735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under46c1,639$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.45851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under54c1,366$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over42c1,164$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.028959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over72c1,139$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.892751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c971.72$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.081,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c829.97$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.9174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under29c753.1$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4764938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over34c676.47$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.537440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9965…c703backed Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over55c417.32$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.914057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c411.36$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.026451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under29c400.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0316454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over70c385$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.55658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over71c359.15$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.155271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c354.82$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under29c347.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.742650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c314.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.557833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2105922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd9…8843backed Over32c299.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+97.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5354…2785backed Under62c288.59$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.931931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48b5…9167backed Under30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c266.43$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Over23c256.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.567233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over66c203.85$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.311070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Over30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0420054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x758e…f824backed Under80c187.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under29c181.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over38c176.61$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3422645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Over70c146.24$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.875848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over43c136.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.315251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under54c130.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under28c124.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8722146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over40c122.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under59c115.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.910634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over52c113.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3118841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under66c109.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.011,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over32c107.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.813522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Under70c104.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.343534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over71c103.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.089265.2%60 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7012047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4314351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over30c99.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9913439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Over43c92.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b1f…64e3backed Under73c90.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over32c90.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.633336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f82…91e5backed Over22c88.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c7d…5a4fbacked Over51c87.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over40c87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over71c85.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9212945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over41c83.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4936545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e4…cd04backed Over70c82.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over23c80$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.611839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over47c76.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over54c74.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.153145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Over71c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.592740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.427846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.446160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over25c68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.88122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over44c66.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.197254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over47c63.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6416045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under49c61.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c60.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.673258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.