Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dc3484a0642b40022c2e1d07c3a690341f3831c7e7f22a4bc5aa512d74538be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 72c | 20,113$14,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 14,853$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,929.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 10,621$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,166.89 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 61c | 8,243$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under | 31c | 7,300$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 71c | 7,042$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.25 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 29c | 6,404$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.21 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 32c | 5,601$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…f6eebacked Under | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 4,485$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.23 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 50c | 4,454$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 4,398$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 3,846$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.49 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 28c | 3,410$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.82 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 3,369$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.4 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 1,800$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 47c | 1,669$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.62 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 46c | 1,639$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Under | 54c | 1,366$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 42c | 1,164$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.02 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 72c | 1,139$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.89 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 971.72$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.08 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 829.97$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.91 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 29c | 753.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 32c | 700$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 34c | 676.47$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…c703backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 55c | 417.32$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 411.36$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 29c | 400.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 70c | 385$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 71c | 359.15$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 35c | 354.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.56 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 29c | 347.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 314.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…8843backed Over | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…2785backed Under | 62c | 288.59$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…9167backed Under | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 266.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Over | 23c | 256.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 66c | 203.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Under | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 29c | 181.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 38c | 176.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Over | 70c | 146.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 43c | 136.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Under | 54c | 130.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 28c | 124.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 40c | 122.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 59c | 115.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 52c | 113.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 66c | 109.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 32c | 107.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Under | 70c | 104.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 71c | 103.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Over | 43c | 92.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1f…64e3backed Under | 73c | 90.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…91e5backed Over | 22c | 88.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…5a4fbacked Over | 51c | 87.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 40c | 87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 71c | 85.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 41c | 83.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e4…cd04backed Over | 70c | 82.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 47c | 76.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 54c | 74.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Over | 25c | 68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 44c | 66.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 47c | 63.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 49c | 61.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.