Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d4518fbe9d86041aa480d0a6f7785b769662a55bb5459d3fb8f2ebc873ad91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester City FCof Manchester City FC, Brentford FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Brentford FC | 51c | 121,467$62,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,118.07 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 102,041$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,040.82 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 8,990$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.34 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brentford FC | 54c | 8,533$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.5 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brentford FC | 56c | 6,922$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brentford FC | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 3,999$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 3,958$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked Manchester City FC | 38c | 3,897$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +307.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Brentford FC | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.97 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Brentford FC | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.95 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…f6eebacked Manchester City FC | 46c | 2,553$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…78e7backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Brentford FC | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Brentford FC | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 2,186$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.22 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 2,043$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.62 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 2,036$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.1 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 2,022$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.95 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 2,013$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.71 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Brentford FC | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Brentford FC | 51c | 1,800$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.37 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 1,619$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.01 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Brentford FC | 52c | 1,523$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.1 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 1,471$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 1,433$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Brentford FC | 52c | 1,287$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.51 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Manchester City FC | 46c | 1,252$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Brentford FC | 52c | 1,240$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.45 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 1,213$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.01 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Brentford FC | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Brentford FC | 52c | 1,195$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.32 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 1,151$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Manchester City FC | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 1,047$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.08 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Brentford FC | 51c | 1,003$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.34 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Brentford FC | 53c | 999.07$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.51 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 981.05$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.63 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Brentford FC | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 905.58$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.04 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 903.13$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.63 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Manchester City FC | 32c | 893.75$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.75 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Brentford FC | 51c | 815.15$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.35 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 802.06$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.07 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Brentford FC | 14c | 767.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Brentford FC | 25c | 718.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 715.59$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.89 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 699.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.98 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City FC | 32c | 666.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.16 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Brentford FC | 51c | 657.77$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…25a4backed Brentford FC | 53c | 657.08$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brentford FC | 16c | 650.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 636.73$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Brentford FC | 13c | 631.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Brentford FC | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brentford FC | 17c | 565.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Brentford FC | 51c | 534.2$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 520.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Brentford FC | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Brentford FC | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 480$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Brentford FC | 52c | 472.22$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.84 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…ffc4backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 443.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 440.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 430$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 416.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.83 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 406.27$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.39 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Brentford FC | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557b…5a4fbacked Manchester City FC | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Manchester City FC | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e1…f9c6backed Brentford FC | 69c | 399.01$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 397.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Brentford FC | 53c | 367.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brentford FC | 18c | 360.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Brentford FC | 52c | 360$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Brentford FC | 52c | 351.33$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.69 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Brentford FC | 51c | 342.76$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 341.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 333$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…ae39backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5052…6c4abacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.