Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf662d562eef5be363225ad9aaf8639d14f9d1ffcf6345d06553b8b0ec9acdc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 49c | 7,354$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.99 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,556$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 1,425$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 39c | 1,324$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.82 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 62c | 628.37$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.59 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 579.49$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.49 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 62c | 535.08$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Yes | 59c | 520.51$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 38c | 500.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.82 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked No | 39c | 380.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…ab0bbacked Yes | 62c | 376.48$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 375.7$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Yes | 7c | 286.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 281.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 47c | 258.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 222.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 53c | 221.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…2785backed Yes | 62c | 194.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 26c | 187.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 43c | 174.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 151.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked No | 46c | 148.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 131.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 38c | 111.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 62c | 98.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 63c | 95.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…8a0cbacked Yes | 59c | 87.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…94aebacked Yes | 62c | 85.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18cf…2bb2backed Yes | 14c | 84.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 79.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 60c | 77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Yes | 35c | 69.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed No | 78c | 64.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 58c | 63.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 53.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…048dbacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…627fbacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…582abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa6…e929backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 42.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd92…4cf0backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…e4f1backed Yes | 62c | 36.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…7e39backed No | 55c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 56c | 33.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…fd08backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes | 62c | 31.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 28.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 26.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…6388backed No | 70c | 24.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed No | 57c | 24.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 58c | 21.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes | 62c | 20.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a01…2e3dbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5e8fbacked Yes | 60c | 19.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.