TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a01…2e3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.1
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.76
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$17.35
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$72.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.66
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$8.3
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+54.1%+$10.53
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.82
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.52
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.42
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.28
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.14
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.85
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$21.48
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$20.85
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+174%+$19.05
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$14.59
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.27
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.62
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$11.8
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$20.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.43
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.68
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$7.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Senators vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.