TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes27c88,968$23,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,903.0111445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40014450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4003971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7001,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c9,812$7,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.512,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No55c6,988$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.989660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfba5…8e17backed No74c6,501$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.256100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No74c6,373$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.895164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No73c3,846$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.469113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes12c3,212$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.331,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No72c2,944$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.2630666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No78c2,823$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.9674156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c2,592$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.172,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c2,592$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c2,566$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.594,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c2,400$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No70c2,010$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.0514975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5407061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No75c1,899$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.778100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+93.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes19c1,683$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No75c1,413$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.274369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked No73c1,216$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.431631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No74c1,100$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c1,092$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c1,080$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No74c1,066$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.226319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes18c1,056$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.166440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No76c1,032$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8713948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes74c991.67$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.982240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f13…6a96backed No74c959.13$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No74c951.47$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.381968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes24c781.31$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.966235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No73c778.28$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1421250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No74c738.42$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.38666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed No36c704.66$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Yes27c700.96$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.27540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes58c674.74$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.256160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c667.52$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c594.57$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No73c574.9$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.224862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c544.95$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.371,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No48c501.7$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.110341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015038%57 W · 93 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No74c497.47$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3418453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No41c487$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.332544%11 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Yes25c469.58$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.267440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc98…822bbacked Yes76c446.79$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No76c396.49$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.176041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes78c395.47$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.851172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c392.75$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.042,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No76c387.95$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.172944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c359.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0954340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.624734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…5453backed No26c343.36$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes16c339$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.247335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.744129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…67f0backed Yes30c316.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes15c310.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.876946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c299.97$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4980953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c296.4$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2820059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes51c295.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9722458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No18c287.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1634628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed No43c269.55$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.522556%14 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+70.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes26c265.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.071735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5410950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Yes47c259.91$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes14c253.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.021931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+98.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd6…78efbacked Yes63c236.48$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c218.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Yes27c213.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.522653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c205.63$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1657150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No74c198.44$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.596966.7%46 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes7c180.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.931,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No73c180$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.817635.5%27 W · 49 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes13c163.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes27c143$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.242941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes26c139.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.311625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Yes77c128.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Yes77c128.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.621747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes26c127.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.042240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd85a…1d03backed Yes80c123.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.781758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No74c109.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5311265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No71c108.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0111655.2%64 W · 52 L+13.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes27c106.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6914949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes21c100.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23070%21 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-64.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.539651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710168.3%69 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked No74c99.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.941963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No74c98.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.686147.5%29 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No75c96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes27c95.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8210125.7%26 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.